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Argentina vs England Prediction and Betting Odds

16/07/2026|SB Staff|Misc Tips & Predictions
Argentina vs England

 

Argentina and England both have one victory on the board so far in the Nations Championship, both winning their Round 2 matches.

Now, they’ll face each other in Round 3 of the Southern Hemisphere section of the new tournament, meeting on Sunday, July 13, at 05:10 AEST in Argentina.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: England to win

Value bet: England in the handicap

Long shot: England to win by 8-14

 

Betting Preview

 

Argentina secured their first victory of the 2026 tournament after impressively defeating Wales 35-21, with Joaquín Oviedo scoring two tries in a player of the match performance.

Justo Piccardo, Marcos Kremer, and Santiago Carreras also weighed in with tries, with four of the five scored in the first half of the game. Tomás Albornoz, meanwhile, had a 100% conversion rate (5/5).

After a big defeat to South Africa, England bounced back with an emphatic defeat of Fiji. They won 73-8 in Liverpool, with nine players scoring tries, including a second-half hat-trick by Henry Pollock. Fin Smith made nine out of his 11 conversion attempts.

It was the kind of performance Steve Borthwick needed from his side as pressure mounted on them after a five-Test losing streak.

Noah Caluori, George Kloska, and Benhard Janse van Rensburg all made their debuts in that game and could be in line to feature once again. Caluori and Van Rensburg both scored a try. Pollock and Van Rensburg certainly made cases to start this upcoming game. But Alex Mitchell won’t be available after being replaced following an injury.

Santiago Carreras could be a threat for Argentina, as he was against Wales. He can be a second playmaker and a broken‑field runner, while wings Mateo Carreras and Rodrigo Isgró are among the more explosive finishers in the team.

Juan Martín González and Marcos Kremer are both extremely physical in the back, being known for dominant tackles, breakdown involvements and big carries.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

The moneyline market has the early odds close together ahead of this upcoming contest, with England just edging it. While they put in an improved performance against Fiji, it was expected. Argentina will be a different type of opponent, though, and could prove to be a huge challenge.

Still, the head-to-head record suggests an England win, which we think is likely. Nonetheless, results are often close. This is why there may be better value in the England (-2.5) handicap market. While they are unlikely to win by a huge margin, a field goal could be all the difference in this game.

Total match points has value, with the Under (U 60.5) market the most likely to hit. The number is rather high compared to previous results, which is why we think this outcome is more likely than the Over.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Argentina vs England betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think the most likely outcome is a England win.

The long shot in this game is England to win by 8-14. There is value in that happening, especially given how tight past games have been between these two teams.

Argentina
Draw
England

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