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Turnbull Stakes Day Prediction and Odds

SB Staff|30/09/2026|
Turnbull Stakes Day Preview

 

Held on Saturday, October 3, the 2026 Turnbull Stakes Day is a feature day at Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne.

It is a jam-packed day of racing, with 10 flat races held throughout the day. The first race is scheduled for 12:25 AEST, with Race 8 being the feature of the day, the TAB Turnbull Stakes.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Natural Fling to win

Value bet: Losesomewinmore to win

Long shot: Beautiful You each-way

 

Betting Preview

 

The 10 races on the card for the day are as follows (race times are TBD):

 

 

As mentioned, the TAB Turnbull Stakes is the main feature race and the only Group 1 meeting of the day. We’ve previewed it in more detail separately.

With listed, Group 2 and Group 3 events across varied distances, it is worth brushing up on the different types of horse racing to follow the day's structure.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Although there haven’t been any confirmations as of yet, the Danehill Stakes odds have Natural Fling as the leading favourite. Natural Fling was being prepared specifically for the Danehill by Team McEvoy, and is based in Flemington.

The filly recently won a jump out at Flemington just a few days ago in preparation, but that was only over 800m. Race fans can have no worries over distance here, though, as Natural Fling has won over 1,100m before, winning in August at Caulfield.

The Group 2 Edward Manifold Stakes is another race worth looking at, with Icelady and Profligate co-favourites in the odds.

Icelady has a recent victory at Caulfield over 1,400m, which improves on the several second-place finishes this year over shorter distances.

Profligate is winless, but is consistently strong over 1,400m. Both are stepping up in distance, with both currently ahead in the odds by some margin.

Hedged leads the nominations in the Gilgai Stakes, with Losesomewinmore closely behind in the early odds.

Hedged has a recent second-placed finish in a Group 2 race at Flemington, over the same distance of 1,200m, but was beaten by Losesomewinmore by 0.46 lengths.

It is perhaps why there is better value on the latter, as the gelding knows the track and often performs well here.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest horse racing betting odds at Sportsbet.

If you are new to these markets, our guide on how to bet on horses walks through the basics before you place a wager.

Our top pick is Natural Fling as the likely winner of the Danehill Stakes.

Our value pick is Losesomewinmore in the Gilgai Stakes.

A long shot is on Beautiful You in the Edward Manifold Stakes. The filly is in good form, with three wins in her last four races.

She’s a long shot because this race is an increase in distance, so the test will be whether she can compete with experienced competitors and have the stamina to do so.

Don’t forget, you can check out our dedicated article for the feature TAB Turnbull Race, where we’ve previewed the upcoming race and made our picks.

1. Half Yours (14)
W: 59.0kgF: 9444x6
J: Jamie Melham
T: T & C McEvoy
Win
Place
2. Sir Delius (9)
W: 59.0kgF: x331x4
J: Craig Williams
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
Win
Place
3. Light Infantry Man (3)
W: 58.0kgF: 415x48
J: Harry Coffey
T: C Maher
Win
Place
4. Cosmic Crusader (4)
W: 58.0kgF: 2x1132
J: William Pike
T: Andrea Leek
Win
Place
5. Aeliana (2)
W: 57.0kgF: 211x02
J: Damian Lane
T: C J Waller
Win
Place

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