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The Open Championship Prediction and Betting Odds

13/07/2026|SB Staff|Golf Tips & Predictions
The Open Championship Prediction

 

The final major of the golf season is upon us, as punters look to bet on The Open at the Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England.

The tournament will take place between Thursday, July 16, and Sunday, July 19, with the first tee time around 16:00 AEST on the first two days, before being an hour later on the Saturday and Sunday.

The prize pot has been around AU$24.5 million in recent years, with it yet to be confirmed for this year’s event.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Scheffler in the each-way to win

Value bet: McIlroy as an each-way to win

Long shot: Fitzpatrick as an each-way to win

 

Betting Preview

 

The world’s oldest golf tournament, The Open Championship, will be held for the 154th time this year, with the Royal Birkdale Golf Club likely to provide the world’s best golfers with numerous challenges.

It’ll be the first time it has been held at this course since 2017, when Jordan Spieth beat Matt Kuchar after that wild 13th hole on Sunday. The course is a classic coastal links, par 70 at roughly 7,200 yards, with flat but narrow fairways bordered by dunes up to around 50 feet high and hundreds of penal pot bunkers.

The greens are small, subtly contoured, and kept relatively slow to cope with persistent wind, putting a premium on precise iron play and a tidy short game rather than pure bomb-and-gouge.

Players with the following profiles are more likely to successfully navigate the conditions: accurate drivers, above-average approach play, strong wind control, and a comfortable links temperament.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Scottie Scheffler will enter The Open Championship as the favourite, and is the defending champion. He won with a 17-under score at Royal Portrush Golf Club, beating Harris English by four shots (13-under).

Rory McIlroy is also among the favourites, with his recent Masters win and previous England-based Open victory, but his value may be a little shorter than it should be due to his limited recent starts. This could bring in questions about his true form.

The same could be said for Jon Rahm , who is always a favourite to perform on these types of courses. He is a two‑time major winner who showed life with a close call at the PGA but also missed the cut at the U.S. Open, which is why he could be worth better value in the each-way.

And if you are looking for a real fairytale story, Southport golfer Tommy Fleetwood is likely to have the biggest support from the crowd. Could that spur him on to success on home soil?

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest golf betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our pick is for Scottie Scheffler to be the likely winner, as he has all the tools and qualities needed to win The Open Championship at Royal Birkdale Golf Club.

Our long shot is Matt Fitzpatrick ; he is a three-time PGA Tour winner this season and playing in his home country, but ranks a lowly 94th in strokes gained putting, which is the obvious red flag.

Win Only
16 Jul 09:00
Scottie Scheffler
Rory McIlroy
Matt Fitzpatrick
Tommy Fleetwood
Jon Rahm
Cameron Young
Chris Gotterup
Collin Morikawa
Justin Rose
Wyndham Clark
Xander Schauffele
Ludvig Åberg
Robert MacIntyre
Tyrrell Hatton
Viktor Hovland
Sam Burns
Bryson DeChambeau
Russell Henley
Tom Kim
Patrick Reed
Brooks Koepka
Joaquin Niemann
Justin Thomas
Shane Lowry
Si Woo Kim
Aaron Rai
Alex Fitzpatrick
Jordan Spieth
Min Woo Lee
Patrick Cantlay
Brian Harman
Hideki Matsuyama
JJ Spaun
Kristoffer Reitan
Nicolai Højgaard
Rickie Fowler
Adam Scott
Akshay Bhatia
Alex Noren
Ben Griffin
Cameron Smith
Corey Conners
David Puig
Eugenio Chacarra
Harris English
Jake Knapp
Jason Day
Kurt Kitayama
Marco Penge
Maverick McNealy
Michael Thorbjornsen
Sepp Straka
Victor Perez
Angel Ayora
Bud Cauley
Harry Hall
Jacob Bridgeman
Johnny Keefer
Jordan Smith
Max Homa
Rasmus Højgaard
Ryan Fox
Ryan Gerard
Alex Smalley
Eric Cole
Gary Woodland
Haotong Li
J.T. Poston
Jayden Schaper
Keegan Bradley
Keith Mitchell
Matt Wallace
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Ryo Hisatsune
Sahith Theegala
Sungjae Im
Tom McKibbin
Andrew Novak
Casey Jarvis
Daniel Berger
Lucas Herbert
Max Greyserman
Michael Brennan
Thomas Detry
Billy Horschel
Jackson Suber
Louis Oosthuizen
Matt Mccarty
Matthew Jordan
Michael Kim
Pierceson Coody
Bernd Wiesberger
Daniel Brown
Daniel Hillier
Hennie du Plessis
Jesper Svensson
John Parry
Keita Nakajima
Michael Hollick
Nick Taylor
Sam Stevens
Scott Vincent
Francesco Laporta
Laurie Canter
Nico Echavarria
Peter Uihlein
Sami Valimaki
Adrien Saddier
Alejandro De Castro Piera
Alistair Docherty
Andy Sullivan
Antoine Rozner
Austen Truslow
Baard Bjoernevik Skogen
Caleb Surratt
Cameron John
Dan Bradbury
Darren Clarke
David Duval
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Fifa Laopakdee
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Henrik Stenson
Jack Buchanan
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Lev Grinberg
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Martin Couvra
Mason Howell
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Ren Yonezawa
Ryutaro Nagano
Sam Bairstow
Shaun Norris
Stewart Cink
Stuart Grehan
Tiger Christensen
Tim Wiedemeyer
Tom Sloman
Travis Smyth

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