Resendiz vs Mazoudier Prediction and Betting Odds

A new challenge awaits Aussie boxer Koen Mazoudier in Las Vegas, as he will take to the ring against Armando Resendiz.

Resendiz has been drafted in as a late replacement for the fight on Sunday, October 18 (from 07:00 AEST), after Jermall Charlo withdrew due to injury.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Resendiz to win

Value bet: Resendiz by decision

Long shot: KO/TKO victory for Resendiz

Tale of the Tape

The pair will contest a 10-round fight at 168lbs, with Mazoudier having to step up in weight significantly.

He last weighed 153lbs, while Resendiz weighed 167lbs – and the weight is an important part of the matchup. Mazoudier’s recent title success came at 154lbs, but he is against a former champion at 168lbs.

Resendiz might have had just about 10 days' notice for this fight, but he is the more experienced fighter, and his pressure, heavier punching, and experience against stronger opposition give him the edge.

Mazoudier cannot be overlooked, though. The New South Wales man is an aggressive fighter himself and arrives on a four-fight winning streak.

Resendiz’s statistics are first:

• Age - 27 vs 31
• Height - 5'10" (178cm) vs 6'0" (182cm)
• Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
• Record - 16-3-0 vs 16-4-1
• KO Record - 11 vs 6

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last fights?

Resendiz's last five fights:

• Jaime Munguia - Loss (UD, 12) - May 2026
• Caleb Plant - Win (SD, 12) - May 2025
• Fernando Paliza - Win (TKO, 5) - Feb 2025
• Elijah Garcia - Loss (TKO, 8) - Sep 2023
• Jarrett Hurd - Win (TKO, 10) - Mar 2023

Mazoudier's last five fights:

• Sam Beck - Win (MD, 10) - Aug 2026
• Dominic Molinaro - Win (SD, 10) - Dec 2025
• Jorge Kapeen - Win (TKO, 2) - Sep 2025
• Dan Hill - Win (UD, 10) - Apr 2025
• Nikita Tszyu - Loss (TKO, 9) - Aug 2024

Betting Markets to Watch

Mazoudier had prepared for Charlo and has acknowledged that Resendiz presents a different, more forward-moving style, which is why the latter will likely be perceived as the pre-fight favourite.

As noted, the Mexican is also more experienced at this level, while the move up in weight could be an issue for the Aussie.

Value could be worth exploring across the prop markets of this fight, rather than in the moneyline. There could be value in a KO/TKO victory for Resendiz, given his decent KO record.

While both have enjoyed 16 wins in their career, Resendiz has a 69% KO percentage in his fights, as opposed to 38% for Mazoudier.

If you are weighing up a finish bet here, it is worth brushing up on the difference between KO and TKO before you back one.

However, the fight going the distance and a win by points/decision could be a safer route. Mazoudier’s recent winning run and Resendiz’s late notice of this bout could see both be a little more cautious in the ring.

With both records littered with UD, SD and MD results, it can help to understand how boxing decisions work before taking that route.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Grade B fight odds for Resendiz vs Mazoudier.

Our prediction is a likely Resendiz win, with a decision victory the most likely outcome. As a long shot, we do like the idea of a KO/TKO victory for Resendiz.

Despite Mazoudier’s recent form, there’s a lot that he has to contend with in this fight that he hasn’t done before, which could give the Mexican an opportunity to pick him off and end the fight earlier than the 10 scheduled rounds.