
The two will clash on a 7-fight card, with the action taking place from Tokyo, Japan. The action will unfold from 19:45 AEST on Saturday, May 2.
Quick Picks
Our pick: Inoue to win
Value bet: Naoya Inoue Points or Decision market
Long shot: Nakatani to win
Tale of the Tape
This fight will see an interesting clash of styles, as Inoue boxes with an orthodox stance, while Nakatani adopts a southpaw one.
This can lead to some intriguing moments, as there can be a level of awkwardness depending on the angles the fight produces inside the ring.
Inoue is a pressure-boxer-puncher who advances with purpose, layers feints and jabs, and then detonates combinations once he gets opponents trapped.
Nakatani is taller and has a longer frame, with a rangy, out-boxer/puncher style built around distance control, a busy lead hand, and a heavy straight left.
Here's how the two compare with Inoue's figures first:
• Age - 33 vs 28
• Height - 5'5" (165cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)
• Stance - Orthodox vs Southpaw
• Record - 32-0-0 vs 32-0-0
• KO Record - 27 vs 24
Betting Preview
How have they performed in their last five fights?
Inoue's last five fights:
• David Picasso - Win (UD, 12) - Dec 2025
• Murodjon Akhmadaliev - Win (UD, 12) - Sep 2025
• Ramon Cardenas - Win (TKO, 8) - May 2025
• Ye Joon Kim - Win (TKO, 4) - Jan 2025
• TJ Doheny - Win (TKO, 7) - Sep 2024
Nakatani's last five fights:
• Sebastian Hernandez - Win (UD, 12) - Dec 2025
• Ryosuke Nishida - Win (TKO, 6) - Jun 2025
• David Cuellar - Win (TKO, 3) - Feb 2025
• Tasana Salapat - Win (TKO, 6) - Oct 2024
• Vincent Astrolabio - Win (TKO, 1) - Jul 2024
Betting Markets to Watch
Both men can be considered knockout specialists, with the vast majority of their fights ending by knockout.
However, we think there might be value worth exploring in the decision market. If you're new to the sport, our boxing betting guide covers the key markets available.
Given that both men are undefeated, we think this fight offers value to go the distance.
Both Inoue and Nakatani's last fights went the distance, with Inoue also having the one prior to his last one going 12 rounds.
As a result, we think there's value in the Naoya Inoue Points or Decision market, as the defending champion has successfully defended his belts several times.
Still, this fight cannot be considered a given.
Nakatani could challenge Inoue, which would give him value despite his perceived underdog status. Still, we'd consider it a long shot.
Our Prediction
Check the latest Inoue vs Nakatani betting odds at Sportsbet.
Our prediction is that Inoue will likely win, as he has plenty of title experience and, if he can apply his usual pressure, timing, and ability to break rhythm, he normally travels well against elite movers.
With both fighters boasting impressive quickest boxing knockouts on their records, expect fireworks if either lands clean.
For more boxing tips and predictions, check out our latest previews ahead of fight night.


