
<p>The two will clash on a 7-fight card, with the action taking place from Tokyo, Japan. The action will unfold from 19:45 AEST on Saturday, May 2.</p><h2> </h2><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Inoue to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> Naoya Inoue Points or Decision market</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Nakatani to win</p><h2> </h2><h2>Tale of the Tape</h2><p>This fight will see an interesting clash of styles, as Inoue boxes with an orthodox stance, while Nakatani adopts a southpaw one.</p><p>This can lead to some intriguing moments, as there can be a level of awkwardness depending on the angles the fight produces inside the ring.</p><p>Inoue is a pressure-boxer-puncher who advances with purpose, layers feints and jabs, and then detonates combinations once he gets opponents trapped.</p><p>Nakatani is taller and has a longer frame, with a rangy, out-boxer/puncher style built around distance control, a busy lead hand, and a heavy straight left.</p><p> </p><p>Here's how the two compare with Inoue's figures first:</p><p>• Age - 33 vs 28</p><p>• Height - 5'5" (165cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)</p><p>• Stance - Orthodox vs Southpaw</p><p>• Record - 32-0-0 vs 32-0-0</p><p>• KO Record - 27 vs 24</p><h2> </h2><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>How have they performed in their last five fights?</p><p> </p><p><strong>Inoue's last five fights:</strong></p><p>• David Picasso - Win (UD, 12) - Dec 2025</p><p>• Murodjon Akhmadaliev - Win (UD, 12) - Sep 2025</p><p>• Ramon Cardenas - Win (TKO, 8) - May 2025</p><p>• Ye Joon Kim - Win (TKO, 4) - Jan 2025</p><p>• TJ Doheny - Win (TKO, 7) - Sep 2024</p><p> </p><p><strong>Nakatani's last five fights:</strong></p><p>• Sebastian Hernandez - Win (UD, 12) - Dec 2025</p><p>• Ryosuke Nishida - Win (TKO, 6) - Jun 2025</p><p>• David Cuellar - Win (TKO, 3) - Feb 2025</p><p>• Tasana Salapat - Win (TKO, 6) - Oct 2024</p><p>• Vincent Astrolabio - Win (TKO, 1) - Jul 2024</p><h2> </h2><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>Both men can be considered knockout specialists, with the vast majority of their fights ending by knockout.</p><p>However, we think there might be value worth exploring in the decision market. If you're new to the sport, our <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-on-boxing">boxing betting guide</a> covers the key markets available.</p><p>Given that both men are undefeated, we think this <strong>fight offers value to go the distance</strong>.</p><p>Both Inoue and Nakatani's last fights went the distance, with Inoue also having the one prior to his last one going 12 rounds.</p><p>As a result, we think there's value in the <strong>Naoya Inoue Points or Decision market</strong>, as the defending champion has successfully defended his belts several times.</p><p>Still, this fight cannot be considered a given.</p><p><strong>Nakatani could challenge Inoue</strong>, which would give him value despite his perceived underdog status. Still, we'd consider it a long shot.</p><h2> </h2><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/boxing/grade-a-fights/naoya-inoue-v-junto-nakatani-9497306">Inoue vs Nakatani betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p>Our prediction is that <strong>Inoue will likely win</strong>, as he has plenty of title experience and, if he can apply his usual pressure, timing, and ability to break rhythm, he normally travels well against elite movers.</p><p>With both fighters boasting impressive <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/boxing/news/fastest-knockouts-boxing-history">quickest boxing knockouts</a> on their records, expect fireworks if either lands clean.</p><p>For more <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/boxing/predictions">boxing tips and predictions</a>, check out our latest previews ahead of fight night.</p>
Naoya Inoue v Junto Nakatani
2 May 21:30
Naoya Inoue
Draw
Junto Nakatani
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