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Collins vs Lorente II Prediction & Betting Odds

16/04/2026|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions
Collins vs Lorente II
<p>The two will clash on Saturday, April 18 (from 03:00 AEST) in Glasgow, Scotland, with the EBU European Featherweight Title on the line.</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Collins to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> Collins to win by decision</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Collins by TKO/KO</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Tale of the Tape</h2><p>Their first clash in October 2025 at Braehead Arena ended in a majority draw (115-113 twice, 114-114), with Collins dominating early via aggression and speed before Lorente rallied with precise adjustments and pressure.</p><p>Collins is a slick boxer-puncher with sharp counterpunching, strong straight lefts, and a deep punch selection, thriving on the back foot against aggressive foes. Lorente is the defending champion and relies on forward pressure, solid left hands, and tactical mid-fight adjustments, though he shows limited head movement and vulnerability to counters. Questions have been asked about his ability against quality opponents in the past.</p><p>How do the two fighters compare? Collins's figures are first…</p><p>• Age: 29 vs 30</p><p>• Height: 5'6" (168cm) vs 5'9" (175cm)</p><p>• Stance: Southpaw vs Orthodox</p><p>• Record: 17-0-1 vs 20-0-3</p><p>• KO Record: 8 vs 8</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>How have they performed in their last five fights?</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p><strong>Collins's last five fights:</strong></p><p>• Cristobal Lorente: Draw (SD, 12), Oct 2025</p><p>• Lee McGregor: Win (TKO, 4), May 2025</p><p>• Darwin Martinez: Win (Points, 8), Feb 2025</p><p>• Francesco Grandelli: Win (UD, 12), May 2024</p><p>• Zak Miller: Win (MD, 12), Nov 2023</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p><strong>Lorente's last five fights:</strong></p><p>• Nathaniel Collins: Draw (SD, 12), Oct 2025</p><p>• Ruben Gil: Draw (SD, 12), Jul 2025</p><p>• Francesco Grandelli: Win (UD, 12), Dec 2024</p><p>• Mauro Forte: Win (MD, 12), Jul 2024</p><p>• Kevin Trana: Win (UD, 6), Nov 2023</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p><strong>Collins is considered the early favourite</strong> in the betting for this matchup, perhaps with his performance in the first bout between the pair in mind.</p><p>There isn't a great deal of value in his odds because of the favouritism being shown, likely due to home advantage; still, you can find additional value in the <strong>method of victory markets</strong> if you share the same confidence as the bookies for the Scot to win. If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-on-boxing">boxing betting explained</a>, understanding these markets is a great place to start.</p><p>The <strong>most likely outcome is for Collins to win by decision</strong>. Their technical draw (115-113 x2, 114-114) suggests another 12-round chess match, especially with both improving adjustments. By extension, this means there's value in the <strong>fight going the distance</strong>.</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/boxing/grade-b-fights/nathaniel-collins-v-cristobal-lorente-10185044">Collins vs Lorente II betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p>Our <strong>prediction is that Collins becomes the EBU European Featherweight champion</strong> by <strong>winning this fight by unanimous decision.</strong></p><p><strong>Collins to win by TKO/KO</strong> offers huge value worth exploring as a long shot. He had a strong performance against Lee McGregor to stop him in the 4th round, and he could look to exploit Lorente's static head. For more on the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/boxing/news/fastest-knockouts-boxing-history">quickest boxing knockouts</a> in history, Collins would need to produce something special early.</p><p>This featherweight clash is one of several exciting bouts across the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/boxing/news/boxing-weight-classes-guide">boxing weight classes</a> this weekend. Check out the full <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/boxing">boxing betting odds</a> at Sportsbet for all the action.</p>
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