This 10-round bout uses a format traditional to men's boxing, with three-minute rounds, marking a notable shift for women's boxing. The WBO, WBA and IBF World Female Super Featherweight Titles are all on the line, with Baumgardner defending the belts.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Baumgardner to win

Value bet: Baumgardner to win by decision

Long shot: Baumgardner by TKO/KO

Tale of the Tape

Baumgardner is likely to try to control the ring centre with jabs and footwork, countering Shin's advances with check hooks and straight rights during the longer rounds to land patient power shots. Shin will likely aim to pressure forward, cut off the ring, target the body early to slow Baumgardner, and throw high-volume punches (80+ per round) to outwork the champion late.

Here's how the two compare with Baumgardner's figures first:

• Age: 31 vs 32

• Height: 5'6" (168cm) vs 5'6" (168cm)

• Stance: Orthodox vs Orthodox

• Record: 17-1-0 vs 19-3-3

• KO Record: 7 vs 10

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Baumgardner's last five fights:

• Leila Beaudoin: Win (UD, 12), Dec 2025

• Jennifer Miranda: Win (UD, 10), Jul 2025

• Delfine Persoon: No Contest (Cut, 4), Sep 2024

• Christina Linardatou: Win (UD, 10), Jul 2023

• Elhem Mekhaled: Win (UD, 10), Feb 2023

Shin's last five fights:

• Tywarna Campbell: Win (MD, 10), Oct 2025

• Caroline Dubois: Loss (MD, 10), Mar 2025

• Ntomboqala Tolashe: Win (UD, 10), Dec 2024

• Ana Maria Lozano: Win (TKO, 7), Aug 2024

• Pattarawan Thaosuwan: Win (TKO, 3), Oct 2023

Betting Markets to Watch

The boxing betting odds pre-fight heavily lean in favour of Baumgardner. The defending champion is considered a huge favourite to win this fight, with Shin being given very little chance. Of course, her defeat to Dubois in a lightweight title effort recently sees her chances here being considered long.

With Baumgardner's odds extremely short, we think there's value in the method of victory. The value is likely going to be in the decision market, as Shin is extremely durable when inside the ring. The South Korean's three losses have all been by decision, making it unlikely she'll be knocked down in this one, given the American's fight style and approach.

As such, we think there is additional value in the fight going the distance.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Baumgardner vs Shin betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think the most likely outcome is for Baumgardner to win and retain her titles. If you're new to wagering on the sport, our guide to betting on boxing covers all the key markets.

Long shot value may exist in the TKO/KO victory for Baumgardner, although Shin would have to be caught off guard for that to likely happen. For more boxing predictions, check out our latest tips ahead of the weekend's action.