UFC Fight Night Las Vegas Full Card: Prediction & Betting Odds
05/06/2026|Giovanni Angioni| UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC Fight Night returns to Las Vegas this weekend after being in Macau last week, with Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim the headline event.
Taking place at the Meta APEX, the card features 12 bouts scheduled to start at 07:00 AEST on Sunday, June 7.
And there’s plenty of Australian interest, with Brisbane’s Big Train Tom Nolan on the card, as well as The Juggernaut Junior Tafa…
Quick Picks
- Our pick: Muhammad to win
- Value bet: Muhammad by decision
- Long shot: Costa over Schnell by KO/TKO
Betting Preview
Let’s dive deep into the full card, with the following ‘main card’ fights, in descending order:
- Belal Muhammad (24-5) vs Gabriel Bonfim (19-1)
- Brendan Allen (26-7) vs Edmen Shahbazyan (16-5)
- Fares Ziam (18-4) vs Tom Nolan (10-1)
- Bryce Mitchell (18-3) vs Santiago Luna (8-0)
- Matt Schnell (17-10) vs Alessandro Costa (15-5)
- Iwo Baraniewski (8-0) vs Junior Tafa (7-5)
The bouts on the ‘prelim card’ are as follows:
- Marcus McGhee (10-2) vs John Yannis (10-4)
- Bruno Silva (15-8-2) vs Edgar Cháirez (13-6)
- Chelsea Chandler (6-4) vs Priscila Cachoeira (13-8)
- Jordan Leavitt (13-3) vs Joanderson Brito (18-5-1)
- Jeisla Chaves (6-0) vs Yuneisy Duben (6-1)
- Ketlen Souza (16-6) vs Ariane Carnelossi (15-4)
Betting Markets to Watch
We’ve listed our top predictions for the full card below, with the markets worth watching.
Muhammad over Bonfim , with a decision victory the most likely outcome . He is likely to mix takedowns, cage pressure and steady volume to win minutes.
Allen over Shahbazyan by submission . Allen’s superior grappling, back‑taking and finishing instincts on the mat give him multiple pathways to win.
Ziam over Nolan by decision . Ziam’s range management, kicking game and measured approach should allow him to outpoint Nolan over three rounds.
Mitchell over Luna by decision . Mitchell’s wrestling and top control should see him spend long stretches on top, hunting but not necessarily finding a finish.
Costa over Schnell by KO/TKO . Costa’s aggressive striking and Schnell’s historical vulnerability to heavy shots make an inside‑the‑distance finish for the Brazilian the likeliest outcome.
Baraniewski over Tafa by decision . Baraniewski is likely to use a more rounded approach, mixing wrestling and safer striking to avoid Tafa’s power and edge the cards.
McGhee over Yannis by KO/TKO . McGhee’s athleticism, power and forward pressure suggest he can break Yannis down with combinations and force a stoppage.
Silva over Cháirez by KO/TKO . Silva’s experience and finishing instincts at flyweight give him strong knockout equity.
Chandler over Cachoeira by decision . Chandler’s more varied game and potential to mix in grappling and clinch work should help her survive Cachoeira’s power swings and outwork her over three.
Brito over Leavitt by KO/TKO . Brito’s aggression, physicality and explosive striking make an early to mid‑fight stoppage the most likely route.
Chaves over Duben by decision . Chaves’ unbeaten momentum, composure and likely edge in structured striking should see her do the cleaner work across three rounds at women’s flyweight.
Carnelossi over Souza by decision . Carnelossi’s durability, forward pressure and clinch strength point toward her outlasting Souza in a grinding strawweight battle on the scorecards despite being the underdog.


