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UFC 328: Event & Betting Preview

07/05/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC 328

Taking place on Sunday, May 10, from 08:00 AEDT, a total of 13 bouts will take place inside the Octagon with Khamzat Chimaev defending his UFC Middleweight Championship belt against Sean Strickland, while Joshua Van will defend his UFC Flyweight Championship title against Tatsuro Taira.

In this preview, we'll look for the best potential prop bets and method of victory tips likely to be available for the upcoming card.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Chimaev to win

Value bet: Tatsuro Taira by submission

Long shot: Sean Brady by submission

 

Betting Preview

We've highlighted the main card, as this is where we feel there may be more betting value. Fights on the upcoming UFC 328 main card are:

 

  • Khamzat Chimaev (15-0) vs Sean Strickland (30-7)
  • Joshua Van (16-2) vs Tatsuro Taira (18-1)
  • Alexander Volkov (39-11) vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-2)
  • Sean Brady (18-2) vs Joaquin Buckley (21-7)
  • King Green (34-17-1) vs Jeremy Stephens (29-22)

 

There's plenty of experience on show on the main card, which is why we think there could be a lot of value to be had when looking at the method of victory markets, as well as other potential props.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

When looking for the value that is available, we like what's being offered in the following:

'Khamzat Chimaev Submission and Round 2' appears to offer some value in the headline fight.

Although Strickland's last three previous UFC title fights have gone the distance, Chimaev is a dual-threat finisher, and the submission path looks more likely, as he'll look to start grappling for control early, then begin to lock something up mid-fight.

'Tatsuro Taira by submission' has the strongest value in the co-main event fight. Taira's finish path is most clearly through grappling, not a pure striking decision war.

Four of Tatsuro Taira's last five UFC fights have ended in Round 2, meaning 'Tatsuro Taira Submission and Round 2' could be worth exploring.

'Volkov by decision' offers a cleaner price than his straight moneyline, and lines up with the "technical veteran controls the later rounds" narrative that many follow when betting on UFC fights.

'Brady by decision' fits the read that he survives early bombs, controls later rounds, and doesn't need a finish to win ahead of his fight with Buckley.

 

Our Prediction

You can check out our latest UFC predictions.

We think there's value in the 'Khamzat Chimaev Submission and Round 2' market, with 'Tatsuro Taira Submission and Round 2' also offering value.

A win by submission for Brady could offer long shot value, as he has a big grappling edge, excellent takedown control, and top-pressure that can win rounds and grind down a volume-striker like Buckley.

For those looking to understand how to bet on UFC fights, method of victory markets often provide the best value on cards like this.

Betting Suspended

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