<p>Umar Nurmagomedov will get the chance to set the record straight at UFC 321, when he takes on Mario Bautista in a clash on the main card.</p> <p>The Russian experienced the first loss of his career last time out, when he was beaten by Merab Dvalishvili by unanimous decision. However, his upcoming opponent won’t make it easy for him when they stand face-to-face inside the Octagon on Sunday, October 26, from 00:00 AEST.</p> <p>Bautista is undefeated in his last eight fights, making this an encounter between two top bantamweights….</p> <h2>Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista: Tale of the Tape</h2> <p>Let’s take a look at the tale of the tape before giving our Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista betting predictions. This can help us to identify how the fight may go, as well as identify potential betting angles to consider when the two lock up in Abu Dhabi.</p> <p>Nurmagomedov’s figures are first, followed by Bautista…</p> <ul> <li>Age - 29 vs 32</li> <li>Height - 5'8" (172cm) vs 5'9" (175cm)</li> <li>Weight - 135.0 lbs (61.2 kgs) vs 135.0 lbs (61.2 kgs)</li> <li>Reach - 69.0" (175cm) vs 69.0" (175cm)</li> <li>Stance - Orthodox vs Switch</li> <li>Record - 18-1-0 vs 16-2-0</li> <li>UFC Record - 6-1-0 vs 10-2-0</li> </ul> <h2>Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista: Betting Preview</h2> <p>On paper, there isn’t much that separates the two fighters in this upcoming contest, further adding to the appeal as a betting opportunity.</p> <p>As already highlighted, Nurmagomedov is coming off his first defeat; it’ll be interesting to see how he reacts. Bautista hasn’t lost in his last eight encounters, making the American a real threat.</p> <p>Let’s have a quick look at their last five respective fights to see if there’s anything that can be spotted that may suggest what may happen on Sunday…</p> <p>Nurmagomedov’s Last Five Fights:</p> <ul> <li>Merab Dvalishvili - Loss (UD, 5) - Jan 2025</li> <li>Cory Sandhagen - Win (UD, 5) - Aug 2024</li> <li>Bekzat Almakhan - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2024</li> <li>Raoni Barcelos - Win (TKO, 1) - Jan 2023</li> <li>Nate Maness - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2022</li> </ul> <p>Bautista’s Last Five Opponents:</p> <ul> <li>Patchy Mix - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2025</li> <li>José Aldo - Win (SD, 3) - Oct 2024</li> <li>Ricky Simón - Win (UD, 3) - Jan 2024</li> <li>Da'Mon Blackshear - Win (UD, 3) - Aug 2023</li> <li>Guido Cannetti - Win (Sub, 1) - Mar 2023</li> </ul> <h2>Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista: Betting Predictions</h2> <p>Our <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/umar-nurmagomedov-v-mario-bautista-9715163">Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista betting odds</a> have Nurmagomedov as a huge opening favourite to win this contest.</p> <p>We predict that he will return to winning ways and end Bautista’s excellent record. We feel a victory by decision is the most likely, as both fighters often go the distance when they are inside the Octagon. That said, Bautista’s defeats have both been inside the time (one TKO, one submission).</p> <p>Still, Nurmagomedov has won 50% of his victories by decision, and this fight looks like one that will follow the same formula the Russian usually experiences.</p>