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UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr vs Barcelos Prediction and Betting Odds

SB Staff|23/09/2026|
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr vs Barcelos

 

UFC Fight Night is back in Las Vegas this weekend, with Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos as the headlining bout in a 5-round fight.

The two bantamweight fighters are heading into the USA clash in good form, with the fight scheduled for Sunday, September 27. The card gets underway at 07:00 AEST, but this is fight 12 on the schedule.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Rosas Jr to win

Value bet: Fight to go the distance

Long shot: Barcelos to win

 

Tale of the Tape

 

The contest pits Rosas’ elite pressure grappling against the most experienced, well-rounded opponent he has faced during his current five-fight winning surge.

Rosas is entering his first scheduled five-round contest, while Barcelos brings more than eight years of UFC experience to this showdown.

Rosas’ game is built around immediate pressure: getting into clinch-and-wrestling exchanges, chaining takedown attempts, advancing position and banking long spells of control.

Barcelos is a significantly more difficult stylistic assignment than Rosas’ recent opponents. The 39-year-old Brazilian is a seasoned black belt with a strong wrestling base, clean boxing and real stopping power.

But how do the two compare? Rosas’s figures are first…

 

  • Age - 21 vs 39
  • Height - 5'9" (175cm) vs 5'7" (170cm)
  • Stance - Switch vs Orthodox
  • Record - 12-1-0 vs 22-5-0
  • KO Record - 2 vs 8

 

Betting Preview

 

How have they performed in their last five fights?

 

Rosas's last five fights:

 

  • Rob Font - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2026
  • Vince Morales - Win (UD, 3) - Mar 2025
  • Aoriqileng - Win (UD, 3) - Sep 2024
  • Ricky Turcios - Win (Sub, 2) - Jun 2024
  • Terrence Mitchell - Win (TKO, 1) - Sep 2023

 

Barcelos’s last five fights:

 

  • Montel Jackson - Win (SD, 3) - Apr 2026
  • Ricky Simón - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2025
  • Cody Garbrandt - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2025
  • Payton Talbott - Win (UD, 3) - Jan 2025
  • Cristian Quiñonez - Win (Sub, 3) - Feb 2024

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

The odds are likely to see Rosas Jr. as a pre-fight favourite, as he has rapidly moved from being a prospect to a credible ranked contender.

His recent victories have shown a developing ability to win in different ways, with his latest being an impressive victory over American fighter Font.

However, value may be found in Barcelos, as he is a different type of fighter and much, much more experienced. His age could go against him in this fight, but Rosas Jr. hasn’t had to fight a five-round UFC bout yet, and that is going to test the 21-year-old.

If he consistently defends the first shot and keeps the fight standing, Barcelos certainly has a chance. His takedown defence, composure and striking volume make him a dangerous competitor.

The fight to go the distance is the most likely route, with seven of the ten combined fights going to the cards.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Rosas Jr. is the likely winner, with a decision victory most likely .

As a long shot, Barcelos to win has some value. He will need his takedown defence to hold and dictate what happens inside the Octagon if he is to find a shock win.

For the rest of the card, check out our latest UFC tips before the fights get underway.

Raul Rosas Jr
Raoni Barcelos

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