Nurgozhay vs Satybaldiev UFC Prediction, Expert Pick & Betting Tips
22/08/2025|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
<p>The first fight at the Shanghai Indoor Stadium on Saturday from 17:00 AEST will feature two men who will be looking to bounce back after experiencing losses in their UFC debuts.</p>
<p>Diyar Nrgozhay and Uran Satybaldiev were both unbeaten to that point, so this will be new territory for both fighters. They have almost identical records, which makes this fight incredibly interesting for bettors seeking to find some value in the betting.</p>
<p>Let’s take a look at how this fight could go, as we try to find some value picks that can start <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/predictions/fight-night-257-betting-tips">UFC Fight Night in China</a> off in the best way possible for bettors…</p>
<h2>Diyar Nurgozhay vs Uran Satybaldiev: Tale of the Tape</h2>
<p>Nurgozhay’s statistics appear first in this tale of the tape comparison. We believe it’s crucial to examine the key figures of each fighter, as this can help identify potential betting angles that can be used…</p>
<p> </p>
<ul>
<li>Age - 28 vs 31</li>
<li>Height - 6'2" (189cm) vs 6'4" (193cm)</li>
<li>Weight - 210.5 lbs (95.5 kgs) vs 222.5 lbs (100.9 kgs)</li>
<li>Reach - 74.0" (188cm) vs 79.0" (201cm)</li>
<li>Stance - Southpaw vs Orthodox</li>
<li>Record - 10-1-0 vs 9-1-0</li>
</ul>
<h2>Diyar Nurgozhay vs Uran Satybaldiev: Betting Preview</h2>
<p>As can be seen by the comparison, Satybaldiev has a potential advantage in terms of height, weight, and reach. However, Nurgozhay has fought one more fight and is younger than his opponent.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Both lost their debut UFC fights recently, making this one an intriguing proposition. As noted, it’s unfamiliar territory for both, so how will they fare?</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Nurgozhay’s Last Five Opponents:</p>
<ul>
<li>Brendson Ribeiro - Loss (Sub, 2) - Mar 2025</li>
<li>Bartosz Szewczyk - Win (TKO, 2) - Oct 2024</li>
<li>Emiliano Sordi - Win (TKO, 1) - May 2024</li>
<li>Konstantin Andreitsev - Win (UD, 5) - Aug 2022</li>
<li>Magomed Magomedov - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2021</li>
</ul>
<p> </p>
<p>Satybaldiev’s Last Five Opponents:</p>
<ul>
<li>Martin Buday - Loss (UD, 3) - Apr 2025</li>
<li>Leon Soares - Win (Sub, 3) - Mar 2025</li>
<li>Bruno Assis - Win (TKO, 4) - Mar 2024</li>
<li>Gabriel Thimoteo - Win (UD, 3) Aug 2023</li>
<li>Vladimir Seliverstov - Win (SD, 5) - Jul 2022</li>
</ul>
<h2>Diyar Nurgozhay vs Uran Satybaldiev: Betting Predictions</h2>
<p>The latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/diyar-nurgozhay-v-uran-satybaldiev-9539881">Diyar Nurgozhay vs Uran Satybaldiev betting odds</a> at Sportsbet have Satybaldiev edging it as the favourite to win this bout. With more betting markets to be added, it’s worth considering how the two will approach the fight to potentially find value bets.</p>
<p>Nurgozhay cannot be discredited, finished 7 of 11 inside Round 1, boasts 100% takedown accuracy, and is aggressive early. If he gets rolling, a first-round finish could be worth backing at good value.</p>
<p>Satybaldiev by Decision/Late TKO could also be worth backing, as this fight is not expected to go the distance. Both are finishers that use aggression, while he has length, durability, and better cardio; Satybaldiev has only had two fights go the distance, including the loss in his UFC debut, whereas Nurgozhay has had two decision victories.</p>
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