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UFC 319: Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico Betting Predictions

15/08/2025|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
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<p>The <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/ufc/predictions/ufc-319-betting-predictions-preview">co-main event of UFC 319</a> can prove to be a value-rich betting contest for bettors, with the bout between Lerone Murphy and Aaron Pico expected to be one that is too close to call when it happens on Sunday (from 08:00 AEST).</p> <p>Murphy remains unbeaten in his fight career, having amassed a 16-0-1 record. However, Pico is an American with notable talent, boasting a record of 13-4-0. He is also one of the most decorated prospects out of Bellator, making this fight very intriguing.</p> <h2>Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico: Tale of the Tape</h2> <p>Let’s take a look at Murphy and Pico’s key statistics, and see if one edges the other with the Englishman’s figures first…</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Age - 34 vs 28</p> <p>Height - 5'9" (175cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)</p> <p>Weight - 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs) vs 155.7 lbs (70.6 kgs)</p> <p>Reach - 73.5" (187cm) vs 71.0" (180cm)</p> <p>Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox</p> <p>Record - 16-0-1 vs 13-4-0</p> <h2>Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico: Betting Preview</h2> <p>If there is anything that stands out between the two fighters that bettors may want to factor in when placing bets, it’s the weight difference between the pair. Pico was 10lbs heavier than his opponent at their last weigh-in.</p> <p>However, the pair remain evenly matched across other metrics, which adds to the overall appeal of this fight. Their last five fight records also add attraction for bettors…</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Murphy’s Last Five Opponents:</p> <p>Josh Emmett - Win (UD, 5) - Apr 2025</p> <p>Dan Ige - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2024</p> <p>Edson Barboza - Win (UD, 5) - May 2024</p> <p>Josh Culibao - Win (UD, 3) - Jul 2023</p> <p>Gabriel Santos - Win (SD, 3) - Mar 2023</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Pico’s Last Five Opponents:</p> <p>Henry Corrales - Win (TKO, 1) - Feb 2024</p> <p>Pedro Carvalho - Win (TKO, 1) - Sep 2023</p> <p>James Gonzalez - Win (UD, 3) - Apr 2023</p> <p>Jeremy Kennedy - Loss (TKO, 1) - Oct 2022</p> <p>Adli Edwards - Win (TKO, 3) - Apr 2022</p> <h2>Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico: Betting Predictions</h2> <p>The co-main event of UFC 319 is expected to be close, with the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/ufc-mma/ufc-matches/lerone-murphy-v-aaron-pico-9479111">Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico betting odds</a> reflecting that. They do have the American as the favourite to win the contest, but there is value across other betting markets.</p> <p>He's exploded onto the scene with a 69% KO rate, primarily on the back of blitzing attacks, heavy hooks, and top-tier wrestling scrambles. This is his first UFC appearance, but he’s beaten highly ranked featherweights outside the promotion. The KO power Pico has makes the ‘Aaron Pico by KO/TKO’ market look attractive.</p> <p>Murphy will be his toughest challenge, as he has shown he is resilient and can handle himself. This makes it possible to find value in backing the underdog. His undefeated record in the UFC was built by defusing power punchers and volume kickers alike, maintaining composure for all five rounds.</p>

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