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UFC 329: Full Card Prediction & Betting Odds

09/07/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
ufc 329 predictions

 

Many have been looking forward to UFC 329, with the return of Conor McGregor.

After spending five years away, McGregor returns to face Max Holloway for a second time, with the pair clashing in Las Vegas on Sunday, July 12, with the action starting at 07:00 AEST.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Holloway to win

Value bet: Steveson to win by TKO/KO

Long shot: Reese by submission in the first round

 

Betting Preview

 

Full card is as follows:

 

  • Conor McGregor (22-6) vs Max Holloway (27-9)
  • Benoit Saint Denis (17-3) vs Paddy Pimblett (23-4)
  • Cory Sandhagen (18-6) vs Mario Bautista (17-3)
  • Brandon Royval (17-9) vs Lone'er Kavanagh (10-1)
  • King Green (35-17-1) vs Terrance McKinney (18-8)
  • Robert Whittaker (26-9) vs Nikita Krylov (31-11)
  • Gable Steveson (3-0) vs Elisha Ellison (5-2)
  • Cody Garbrandt (15-7) vs Adrian Yanez (17-6-1)
  • Kai Kamaka III (18-7-1) vs Luke Riley (13-0)
  • Tracy Cortez (12-3) vs Cong Wang (9-1)
  • Damian Pinas (9-1) vs César Almeida (7-2)
  • Farid Basharat (15-0) vs John Garza (6-1)
  • Ryan Gandra (9-1) vs Zach Reese (10-3)
  • Cody Durden (18-10-1) vs Alessandro Costa (16-5)

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

We’ve listed our top predictions for the full card below, with the markets worth watching.

 

  • Holloway by TKO (round 4): Holloway’s pace, durability, and volume should overwhelm a slowed, long-layoff McGregor once his early left-hand threat fades and gas tank dips.
  • Saint Denis by submission (round 2): BSD’s relentless pressure grappling, and top control should eventually break Pimblett’s defensive guard and open up a choke or arm triangle after some wild early exchanges.
  • Sandhagen by decision: Sandhagen’s footwork, range striking, and varied attack should let him rack up minutes while denying Bautista the consistent grappling entries he needs over three rounds.
  • Royval by submission (round 2) : Royval’s chaos, scrambling, and front-choke series should eventually catch the still-developing Kavanagh when he shoots or scrambles sloppily in the mid-fight scrambles.
  • McKinney by KO (round 1) : His explosive blitzing and early power make for a bad combination against Green’s hittable boxing defence in the first few wild minutes.
  • Whittaker by decision : Whittaker’s takedown defence, cleaner boxing, and disciplined in-and-out entries should let him pick at Krylov while avoiding extended grappling or big exchanges.
  • Steveson by TKO (round 2) : His elite wrestling should produce repeated mat returns and punishing ground-and-pound once Ellison starts to slow from fighting off takedowns.
  • Yanez by KO (round 2) : Yanez’s tight boxing combinations and pressure should draw Garbrandt into pocket trades where Cody’s declining chin is likely to get cracked again.
  • Riley by decision : Riley’s pace and pressure boxing should edge a competitive fight, outworking Kamaka in the later rounds.
  • Cortez by decision : Cortez’s wrestling and clinch control should bank rounds on top, even if Wang has sharper moments at range.
  • Almeida by KO (round 2) : His high-level kickboxing experience and power should tell once he finds his range and starts landing clean counters on Pinas.
  • Basharat by decision : His well-rounded game and disciplined striking-wrestling mix should allow him to dictate where the fight takes place and win the minutes.
  • Reese by submission (round 1) : He is dangerous early with opportunistic submissions and should be able to snatch a limb or neck if Gandra enters recklessly.
  • Costa by submission (round 3) : Durden’s grinding style could give him early success, but Costa’s grappling threats and scrambling should eventually create a late back take or choke.
Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista

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