UFC 334: Harrison vs Nunes Prediction and Betting Odds

Co-main eventing UFC 334, Kayla Harrison will defend her UFC Bantamweight title against Amanda Nunes.

The two will square off inside the Octagon at the iconic Madison Square Garden, New York, on Sunday, November 15. The pair are due to face off in the penultimate fight on a card that will start at around 09:00 AEDT.

And with some dubbing this the biggest ever fight in women’s MMA history, this one could be seriously explosive.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Harrison to win

Value bet: Harrison by Sub

Long shot: Harrison to win by Submission in Rounds 3 or 4

Tale of the Tape

American fighter Harrison will defend her title for the first time since defeating Julianna Peña by submission at UFC 316 – a bout that took place almost 18 months ago.

Nunes, meanwhile, is entering the Octagon again after deciding to return from retirement. The Brazilian-American fighter known at The Lioness is a former two-division champion and is experienced enough to try and capitalise on the surgery Harrison had to her neck in January.

Nunes offers considerably more proven striking danger than Harrison’s previous UFC opponents, but her absence since 2023 makes her current sharpness difficult to judge.

How do the two compare? Harrison’s figures are first

• Age - 36 vs 38
• Height - 5'8" (173cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)
• Stance - Southpaw vs Orthodox
• Record - 19-1-0 vs 23-5-0
• KO Record - 6 vs 13

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Harrison's last five fights:

• Julianna Peña - Win (Sub, 2) - Jun 2025
• Ketlen Vieira - Win (UD, 3) - Oct 2024
• Holly Holm - Win (Sub, 2) - Apr 2024
• Aspen Ladd - Win (UD, 3) - Nov 2023
• Larissa Pacheco - Loss (UD, 5) - Nov 2022

Nunes’s last five fights:

• Irene Aldana - Win (UD, 5) - Jun 2023
• Julianna Peña - Win (UD, 5) - Jul 2022
• Julianna Peña - Loss (Sub, 2) - Dec 2021
• Megan Anderson - Win (Sub, 1) - Mar 2021
• Felicia Spencer - Win (UD, 5) - Jun 2020

Betting Markets to Watch

Harrison has been made the early favourite. Nunes has won each of her last six UFC fights as an underdog, but the inactivity leaves some questions.

While she has admitted she’s not just returning for this one fight, whether she can immediately recapture her best form remains to be seen.

Harrison should have enough to establish clinch and ground control, wear Nunes down, and eventually secure a submission. The submission is considered the most likely route to victory for the champ, scoring her 8th during the title win.

The fight to go the distance would seem unlikely. Both have been out of action for significant time, while eight of Nunes' nine previous UFC fights against American opponents have failed to go the distance.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Harrison vs Nunes betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Harrison is the likely winner, with the submission offering value.

As a long shot, ‘Harrison to win by Submission in Rounds 3 or 4’ has value. It is likely Nunes will tire after her lengthy layoff, meaning openings for a choke could emerge in rounds three or four. Harrison has never had a fourth round in the UFC, with her two wins by this method coming in the 2nd.

With the rest of UFC 334 still to come, it is worth working through our latest UFC predictions for the other bouts on the card.