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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres Prediction & Betting Odds

26/06/2026|SB Staff| UFC Tips & Predictions
UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres

 

Headlining UFC Fight Night in Baku, Azerbaijan, Rafael Fiziev will take on Manuel Torres inside the Octagon.

The card is scheduled to take place on Saturday, June 27, with the action beginning at around 23:00 AEST. This fight will be a few hours later, as there are 13 on the card.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Torres to win

Value bet: Round 1 - What Round will Fight End

Long shot: Manuel Torres KO/TKO & Round 1 - Method & Round Combo

 

Tale of the Tape

 

Rafael Fiziev is a compact, technically disciplined Muay Thai striker who builds his game around sharp kicks, counters, and layered defense, while Manuel Torres is a taller, aggressive finisher who thrives in fast, chaotic exchanges and early‑round violence.

Fiziev wants a clean, structured striking fight where he can use kicks, feints, footwork, and counters to gradually read and dismantle Torres, while Torres wants to drag him into fast exchanges where one big sequence can flip the fight.

How do the two compare? Fiziev’s figures are first…

 

  • Age - 33 vs 31
  • Height - 5'8" (173cm) vs 5'10" (178cm)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 13-5-0 vs 17-3-0
  • KO Record - 8 vs 9

 

Betting Preview

 

Let’s take a look at how the pair have performed in their last five fights…

Fiziev's last five fights:

 

  • Mauricio Ruffy - Loss (TKO, 2) - Jan 2026
  • Ignacio Bahamondes - Win (UD, 3) - Jun 2025
  • Justin Gaethje - Loss (UD, 3) - Mar 2025
  • Mateusz Gamrot - Loss (TKO, 2) - Sep 2023
  • Justin Gaethje - Loss (MD, 3) - Mar 2023

 

Torres’s last five fights:

 

  • Grant Dawson - Win (TKO, 1) - Dec 2025
  • Drew Dober - Win (TKO, 1) - Mar 2025
  • Ignacio Bahamondes - Loss (TKO, 1) - Sep 2024
  • Chris Duncan - Win (Sub, 1) - Feb 2024
  • Nikolas Motta - Win (TKO, 1) - Jun 2023

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Fiziev has been made the slight favourite to win this encounter, despite his poor recent five-fight record.

This is why there’s potentially better value in Torres to win in the moneyline. He has won each of his four previous UFC Main Card fights and has looked like an unstoppable force.

The fight going the distance looks unlikely , which is why there’s value in a stoppage.

Each of Manuel Torres' last 13 pro MMA fights have failed to go the distance, with each of them ending in the first round. It’s why the ‘ Round 1 - What Round will Fight End ’ market has value.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Fiziev vs Torres betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Torres is the likely winner, with the TKO/KO market offering value.

Our long shot is the ‘ Manuel Torres KO/TKO & Round 1 - Method & Round Combo ’ market. He has won each of his last two UFC fights by KO/TKO in Round 1.

Although Fiziev has lost two of his last five by TKO, they’ve been in the second round, but Torres is a fast finisher and could get the better of him very quickly.

Rafael Fiziev
Manuel Torres

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