<p>Aryna Sabalenka will enter her 2025 US Open semi-final clash in better condition than her opponent, after she managed to take advantage of a rare break.</p> <p>Her quarter-final clash with Markéta Vondroušová was ruled a walkover, after her opponent had to withdraw due to a knee injury.</p> <p>American Jessica Pegula awaits in the semis, with the native defeating Barbora Krejčíková in straight sets. Their match is scheduled to be played on Friday at 9:00am (AEST).</p> <h2>Sabalenka vs Pegula US Open 2025 Betting Preview</h2> <p>Sabalenka is aiming to defend the 2024 US Open crown she won last year, and has been in exceptional form on the hard courts of New York so far. She is yet to drop a set, while only two of them have gone to a tiebreaker.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>So far, the Belarusian has managed to get past:</p> <ul> <li>1st round: Rebeka Masarova - 7-5, 6-1</li> <li>2nd round: Polina Kudermetova - 7-6 (7-4), 6-2</li> <li>3rd round: Leylah Fernandez - 6-3, 7-6 (7-2)</li> <li>Round of 16: Cristina Bucșa - 6-1, 6-4</li> <li>Quarter-final: Markéta Vondroušová - walkover</li> </ul> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>For Pegula, the world’s number 4 is looking to set the record straight at the US Open, where Sabalenka beat her in the 2024 final. The American has been solid in her conquest, as she is also yet to drop a set in this year’s tournament.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>She has advanced to the final four by defeating:</p> <ul> <li>1st round: Mayar Sherif - 6-0, 6-4</li> <li>2nd round: Anna Blinkova - 6-1, 6-3</li> <li>3rd round: Victoria Azarenka - 6-1, 7-5</li> <li>Round of 16: Ann Li - 6-1, 6-2</li> <li>Quarter-final: Barbora Krejčíková - 6-3, 6-3</li> </ul> <h2>Sabalenka vs Pegula US Open 2025 Betting Predictions</h2> <p>They’ve played each other nine times, with Sabalenka winning seven of those matches, including the 2024 US Open final (7-5, 7-5). They have met once since then, with the Belarusian winning in Miami, 7-5, 6-2.</p> <p>Of all the hard-court contests they’ve played against each other, Sabalenka has won four of the six. Pegula’s wins were in 2020 and 2023. Unsurprisingly, the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/ladies-us-open/aryna-sabalenka-v-jessica-pegula-9585460">Sabalenka vs Pegula betting odds</a> reflect the dominance the world’s number 1 has had.</p> <p>Still, where is the value? The ‘Aryna Sabalenka 2-1’ market looks good value based on how both are playing in New York. Pegula has only given up five games once and still managed to win that set. With Sabalenka appearing in her dominant self, the American still has enough to challenge her and make the game interesting by winning a set.</p> <p>As an extension of that bet, the ‘Over (20.5) - Total Match Games’ could be worth a shot. Thirteen of Sabalenka's last 14 Grand Slam main draw matches have gone over the total match games line.</p> <p>Additional value might be in the ‘Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 Correct Score First Set’ market, as she has won the last two meetings with this result in the first.</p>