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Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

30/06/2026|SB Staff|Tennis Tips & Predictions

Kokkinakis vs Bublik Wimbledon First Round Match Overview:

 

- Alexander Bublik is the clear favourite at 1.38 to dispatch Aussie Thanasi Kokkinakis (3.06) in their Wimbledon opener.

- Set betting markets favour a Bublik 3-0 sweep (3.05) or 3-1 victory (3.75).

- Total match games line sits at 40.5, with the Over priced at 1.83 and Under at 1.89.

- Plenty of serve-heavy markets on offer, with both players expected to clock 11+ aces.

 

The grass is cut, the strawberries are stacked, and we’ve got a cracking first round Wimbledon clash on our hands as Thanasi Kokkinakis takes on the unpredictable Alexander Bublik. 

It’s a matchup tailor-made for the lawns of SW19 – two massive serves, two players capable of magic, and two careers that have been derailed at times by injury and inconsistency.

Kokkinakis has the Aussie crowd behind him from afar, but the markets are firmly on the side of the Kazakh showman, who arrives at Wimbledon in arguably the best grass-court form of his career.

 

Kokkinakis vs Bublik Betting Tips

 

Match Betting

When examining the H2H odds for this Wimbledon first-rounder, it’s no surprise to see Bublik installed as the strong favourite at 1.38, with Kokkinakis priced out to 3.06.

Bublik’s game is built for grass. The big serve, the flat groundstrokes, the touch at net and the willingness to throw in an underarm bomb at any moment – it all translates beautifully to the green stuff. 

He’s ridden a hot streak into Wimbledon and looks the most confident he’s been in years.

Kokkinakis, meanwhile, remains one of the most talented Aussies on tour, but durability continues to be the question mark hanging over the South Australian. 

When his body holds up, his serve alone makes him dangerous on any surface, but a long, demanding five-setter against a player of Bublik’s class is a steep ask out of the gate at a Slam.

Bublik’s recent form, freshness and grass-court pedigree all point one way.

Betting tip: Alexander Bublik.

 

Set Betting

Both of these guys can hold serve with the best of them, which usually means tight sets and the lurking threat of tiebreaks. We do, however, expect Bublik’s return game to be the difference.

Kokkinakis is more than capable of pinching a set on the back of his serve, especially if he gets hot on the tiebreak, but going the distance feels unlikely with the Aussie’s match fitness still in question. We like Bublik in four, with Thanasi nicking one along the way.

Betting tip: Bublik 3-1. 

 

Total Match Games

The total match games line for this clash has been set at 40.5. With two huge servers going head-to-head, holds should be the order of the day. 

If our 3-1 Bublik prediction lands and any of those sets stretch to a tiebreak (a strong chance given the serving on display), this total is well within reach.

Betting tip: Over 40.5 total match games.

 

*Odds are subject to change. 

 

Where to Watch the Kokkinakis vs Bublik Wimbledon Match?

 

For those in Australia, you can watch the 2026 Wimbledon first-round clash between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Alexander Bublik on the Nine Network.

Available on both free-to-air on Channel 9 and 9Gem, you can also watch the match online on 9Now.

Alternatively, you can stream this Wimbledon match on streaming service Stan Sport.

 

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublik Match Details 

 

Date: Tuesday, June 30, 2026. 

Time: 9:10pm AEST. 

Location: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, Court 12, London. 

Where to watch: Nine Network, Stan Sport. 

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Alexander Bublik

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