ATP Finals Prediction and Betting Odds

In the season-ending ATP Tour championship, the world’s top eight eligible male players will aim to win one of the biggest titles in tennis.

The tournament will take place in Turin, Italy but home favourite Jannik Sinner won’t participate due to injury. He has planned the Australian Open as his return to court following a knee injury that has sidelined him since July.

The event will start on Sunday, November 15 (ADET) and conclude on Sunday, November 22 (ADET).

Quick Picks

Our pick: Alcaraz to win

Value bet: Zverev each-way

Long shot: Medvedev each-way

Betting Preview

The eight competing in Turin are:

• Alexander Zverev
• Carlos Alcaraz
• Ben Shelton
• Daniil Medvedev
• Flavio Cobolli
• Arthur Fils
• Frances Tiafoe
• Rafael Jodar

Alexander Zverev will compete as the number 1-ranked men’s player, having won both the French Open and US Open this season. He has also won the ATP Finals on two occasions (2018 and 2021).

Carlos Alcaraz recently won the Paris Masters and is on a nine-game unbeaten streak. He also finished as the runner-up in this tournament last year.

Ben Shelton also comes into this tournament in decent form. The American was a Paris runner-up and US Open finalist, and he recently won the Canadian Masters title, strengthening his case on hard courts.

Daniil Medvedev will play in his seventh ATP Finals and won in 2020, while the remaining four (Flavio Cobolli, Arthur Fils, Frances Tiafoe, and Rafael Jodar) are all debutants after strong seasons.

But there’s no Novak Djokovic. He failed to qualify after losing to Rinky Hijikata in the second round of the Paris Masters. With Djokovic missing out, it is worth looking back at who has the most Grand Slam titles to see where he sits among the all-time greats.

Betting Markets to Watch

Alcaraz is likely to be the favourite in the latest tennis outright odds, as he heads into the tournament as the form man.

He beat Shelton in straight sets in the Paris final, arrives on a nine-match winning streak and described his last two weeks as his best tennis since returning from the wrist injury that disrupted his season. He also knows he can play well in Turin, having finished runner-up last season.

Zverev is also likely to be among the contenders. He has two major titles in 2026, the world No. 1 ranking, and two previous ATP Finals trophies.

The issue for him could be form, as he was eliminated in the second round in Paris. How’s this for a couple of stats, too? This year, Zverev has only beaten three top 10 players in 11 attempts, and has no victories against top 5 ranked players (losing six times).

Shelton is perhaps one to watch, due to his quality on hard courts. His Canadian Masters title, US Open final and Paris final give him a strong recent hard-court résumé. The problem for him is that Alcaraz beat him in straight sets in Paris.

Our Prediction

You can check out all of the latest tennis betting odds at Sportsbet!

Alcaraz is our pick to be the likely winner of the ATP Finals, with Zverev offering value.

Our long shot is Medvedev. He has a lot of experience, and with four debutants in this year’s competition, he could use his dangerous ability to an advantage and secure a second championship title.

Word of warning, though – he is a very long shot, as his form has been very mixed, including a first-round elimination in straight sets at the recent Paris Masters to Peruvian Ignacio Buse (ranked number 30).