UCL Round of 16 1st Leg Day 2 Prediction & Betting Odds
11/03/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
Games to be played on March 12 are:
- Leverkusen vs Arsenal (04:45 AEDT)
- PSG vs Chelsea (07:00 AEDT)
- Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting (07:00 AEDT)
- Real Madrid vs Man City (07:00 AEDT)
Quick Picks
Our pick: Man City to win
Value bet: Bodo/Glimt to Win And Draw in Double Chance
Long shot: Chelsea to win
Betting Preview
Just like on Wednesday's Day 1 ties, three English Premier League betting teams are involved in action, highlighting the dominance they appear to have going into this year's tournament's latter rounds.
Given the players and results each of them have had, there's value worth exploring in the markets that feature them. However, we shouldn't discard the game that doesn't feature one of them: Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting.
Bodo/Glimt had several impressive results in the League Phase, beating Man City and Atletico Madrid, and drawing with Dortmund and Tottenham. They also beat Inter Milan twice in their playoff game.
Real Madrid and Man City appear to meet in this competition almost annually. They faced each other earlier in this year's Group Phase, with City winning 2-1 in Spain. This is the fifth season in a row in which they'll meet, and we've written in detail about this game here.
PSG and Chelsea have recent history, with the English side winning 3-0 in the US. The last time they played in the UCL, PSG won 4-2 on aggregate in the 2016 quarter-finals.
Betting Markets to Watch
Bodo/Glimt offer value in their match as a potential winner. Sporting have struggled on the road, so the 'Bodo/Glimt And Draw' has value to it, based on what the Norwegian side has achieved recently.
Chelsea are arguably overpriced to win against PSG, offering value. The underdog has won each of PSG's last four Champions League betting Round of 16 matches against English teams, and the Blues have shown up in big games when required.
Our Prediction
Check the latest UCL betting odds at Sportsbet.
Our predictions are as follows:
- Arsenal as likely winners, with 'Over 2.5 Goals' and the 'No' in the BTTS. Arsenal rarely concede and scoring goals hasn't been an issue for Mikel Arteta's side.
- Chelsea to win against PSG, with the BTTS hitting. Both have leaky defences but potent attacking threats.
- Bodo/Glimt in the Win And Draw market for Double Chance. Norwegians have been good at home, while Sporting don't do well away. 'Over 2.5 Goals' offers value as it has hit in each of Bodo/Glimt's last six Champions League matches.
- Man City to win, as Real Madrid have lost each of the last four matches against English sides in UCL. Spaniards aren't as solid as usual; 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in 13 of Real Madrid's last 14 Champions League home matches.


