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Sporting vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Odds

17/04/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
sporting vs benfica

Sporting are seeking to defend their title for the third successive season, but remain five points behind leaders Porto.

They do have a game in hand, but Benfica won't make it easy…

 

Quick Picks

Our pick: Draw

Value bet: Under 2.5 Goals

Long shot: 1-1 Correct Score

 

Betting Preview

Jose Mourinho's side are third in the league, two points behind Sporting.

Benfica are aiming for a return to the UEFA Champions League, but will need to finish second in the league if they are to realise that objective.

Rui Borges's Sporting side will be entering the game on the back of UEFA Champions League betting action themselves, having faced Arsenal in the second leg of their quarter-final tie.

In terms of Primeira Liga action, they've won their last three consecutive matches. They've gone unbeaten in their last 24 games, having lost just once in the league all season (Porto, 2-1 Aug. 2025).

Benfica haven't experienced a defeat as of yet, despite changing managers early in the season.

Mourinho replaced Bruno Lage, but the club remains without a loss, having won 20 of their 29 matches (9 draws).

 

Betting Markets to Watch

Given that both teams are so strong in the league this season and that defeats are extremely rare, we think the value may lie in the draw outcome.

Benfica have had more draws than most teams in the league (only three others have more), while Sporting have had five ties.

The last meeting between these two teams ended 1-1, with Pedro Goncalves scoring in the 12th minute for Sporting before Heorhiy Sudakov equalised about 15 minutes later.

Gianluca Prestianni was sent off in the game deep into second-half stoppage time.

Could goals be on the cards in this one?

Both teams have the league's top two goalscorers. Luis Suarez has 24 goals in 26 appearances in the Primeira Liga this season for Sporting, while Benfica's Vangelis Pavlidis has 21 in 29 games, surpassing his 19 in 35 last season.

With this in mind, we think both will offer value worth exploring in the anytime goalscorer market.

By extension, we think the BTTS hitting has additional value, but think the 'Under 2.5 Goals' price has further value.

With the previous encounter ending 1-1, we think this is a likely correct score for this one.

 

Our Prediction

Check the latest Sporting vs Benfica betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think a draw is the most likely outcome, given how the two teams have been performing this season and the most recent fixture between them.

Our long shot is the 1-1 correct score based on the views we've shared above.

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