<p>After a fiery first leg, Real Madrid hold a 1-0 advantage over Benfica heading into the return leg on Thursday, February 26, 07:00 AEDT.</p> <p>The game caught a lot of attention for all of the wrong reasons, but it was Vinicius Jr's wonder goal that separated the two sides. The Brazilian was involved in everything, but he certainly made his mark on the tie.</p> <p>Jose Mourinho won't be on the touchline for the second leg after he received a red card. Will this impact Benfica when they travel to the Spanish capital?</p> <h2>Quick Picks</h2> <ul> <li>Our pick: Real Madrid to win</li> <li>Value bet: Real Madrid to win 2-1</li> <li>Long shot: Over 3.5 goals</li> </ul> <h2>Betting Preview</h2> <p>This will be the third time that they've played each other in European competition this season, with each game coming back-to-back (separated by domestic duties).</p> <p>In the first, Benfica secured qualification to this stage of the competition with an impressive 4-2 home victory. They would then host the European giants once again, but fell to that spectacular moment from Vini Jr.</p> <p>Now, will it be a case of deja vu for Real Madrid, as they've been fairly strong at home in this year's competition? They've won three and lost one (Man City), while Benfica had one win from their four in the Group Phase on the road.</p> <h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2> <p>We've already written how we believe that there will be goals in this match in our <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-uefa-champions-league">UCL betting guide</a> and prediction piece.</p> <p>We believe that the correct score of Real Madrid winning 2-1 offers some value. The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in 14 of Real Madrid's last 15 Champions League home matches, while the 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in 12 of Real Madrid's last 13 Champions League home matches.</p> <p>If we're looking for additional value, we think Vini Jr to score as an anytime goalscorer is also worth value. The Brazilian will be fired up following the first leg and will look to be the main difference once again. You'd essentially expect him to be playing with a chip on his shoulder and punishing Benfica.</p> <h2>Our Prediction</h2> <p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/uefa-competitions/uefa-champions-league/real-madrid-v-benfica-10172164">Real Madrid vs Benfica betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p> <p>As you can tell from above, we think the likely outcome is a Real Madrid win. We think there will be goals in this match, especially as both have something to play for.</p> <p>The Spaniards may already have one foot through, but they'll want to punish their Portuguese counterparts; they themselves will need to score at least twice if they are to go through.</p> <p>Once again, we think the 'Over 3.5 Goals' could be worth a long shot in this game, with this having been hit in four of Madrid's UCL games this season, whilst Benfica have seen it hit twice. If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer">soccer betting</a>, understanding these goal markets is a great place to start.</p> <h2>Keep Reading</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/what-is-xg-soccer-explained">What xG actually tells us (and what it doesn't)</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/most-goals-football-history">The players who've found the net more than anyone else</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/biggest-soccer-stadiums-world">Inside the world's most iconic football stadiums</a></li> </ul>