Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Odds

<p><em>The two Madrid clubs will battle for the city on Monday, March 23, at 07:00 AEDT. Real Madrid will host Atletico Madrid in a game that could have serious implications in the La Liga title race.</em></p><p>Real will enter the game against their city rivals four points behind El Clásico rivals, FC Barcelona, who sit top of the La Liga table. For Atletico, Diego Simeone's side are in third, although they are nine points behind Los Blancos.</p><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Draw</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> 'Yes' in the BTTS</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> '1-1 correct score'</p><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>Real Madrid have largely dominated this fixture throughout history, but the gap has significantly closed in recent decades. Atletico have gotten better, which has allowed them to attract better quality players and managers.</p><p>In the last 10 games played by the two sides in La Liga, a draw has been the most frequent outcome. Exactly half of them have finished level, with each of them having ended 1-1. Real Madrid only have two wins across the over five, whereas Atletico have three.</p><p>It's worth noting that Madrid haven't won since 2022, although there have been four draws and two losses. Of the last five matches, the following results have happened:</p><ul><li>Sep 2025: Atletico Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid</li><li>Feb 2025: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid</li><li>Sep 2024: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid</li><li>Feb 2024: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid</li><li>Sep 2023: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Real Madrid</li></ul><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>Atletico Madrid offer value based on the previous results that have occurred in this game, despite Real Madrid being considered the favourites. If you're new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer">soccer betting</a>, understanding historical head-to-head records can be crucial when assessing value.</p><p>For this reason, we think there's value in the <strong>Atletico Madrid (+1.0) in the handicap</strong>. Real Madrid haven't beaten their city rivals at the Santiago Bernabéu since 2021, which suggests their short odds are a bit of a misprice.</p><p>However, the best value worth exploring is perhaps in the <strong>draw outcome</strong>. Each of Atlético Madrid's last six La Liga matches at Bernabéu following a win have resulted in a draw. In terms of goals, the '<strong>Under 2.5 Goals</strong>' market has hit in each of Real Madrid's last 10 La Liga home matches against Atlético Madrid.</p><p>In addition, the '<strong>Both Teams to Score</strong>' market has hit in each of the last seven La Liga matches between Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid.</p><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/spain/spanish-la-liga/real-madrid-v-atletico-madrid-10229112">Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid betting odds</a> at Sportsbet, or explore all <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/spain/spanish-la-liga">La Liga betting</a> markets available.</p><p>We think the <strong>draw is the most likely outcome</strong> between these two teams, as three of the last four matches to have been played at the Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga have finished in this way.</p><p>Goals can come at a premium in this match, despite seven being scored in the meeting earlier this season. We think the historical trend of a <strong>1-1 result is likely</strong> (our long shot), with value in the <strong>BTTS</strong> as it has hit in the last seven games.</p><h2>Keep Reading</h2><ul><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/most-trophies-football-history">The players who've won more silverware than anyone else in football</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/biggest-soccer-stadiums-world">Inside the world's most iconic football stadiums</a></li><li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-uefa-champions-league">How to bet on the Champions League like a pro</a></li></ul>