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PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Odds

10/08/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
PSG vs Aston Villa

 

Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa will meet in the UEFA Super Cup, as the two winners of Europe’s biggest continental cup competitions face each other.

PSG are the Champions League winners, after seeing off Arsenal on penalties in May, while Aston Villa claimed the Europa League under serial winner and former PSG boss Unai Emery.

The two teams will meet in Salzburg, Austria, with the game scheduled for Thursday, August 13 at 05:00 AEST. If you are planning to follow the game live, here’s how to watch PSG v Aston Villa in Australia.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: PSG to win

Value bet: Under 2.5 Goals

Long shot: Double Chance ‘Aston Villa and Draw’

 

Betting Preview

 

This game will come before the two clubs have returned to domestic league action, while it may also come a little too early for some of the two teams’ key stars.

Following the World Cup in the summer, players like Ousmane Dembele, Désiré Doué, and winner Fabián Ruiz could all be absent for the French side, as they all finished the tournament in the top four positions.

Luis Enrique has been looking to add to his squad in the window, but nothing has been confirmed as yet.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, could be without Argentinian goalkeeper Emi Martinez, defenders Ezri Konsa and Lucas Digne, and striker Ollie Watkins.

In fact, Digne could well be joining the Ligue 1 outfit imminently. Villa have already lost Morgan Rogers to Chelsea, but he also would have been questionable after a long campaign.

John McGinn is another doubt for the Villains after an injury knock in pre-season, while there have been many key departures and serious injuries throughout the English Premier League side’s squad. 

New arrival Johan Manzambi could also be doubtful following an injury, but Alejandro Garnacho, João Gomes, and Brian Madjo could be available.

As a result, this match may be viewed as a final friendly for both sides ahead of their domestic campaigns. This could affect the flow of the game and create various betting opportunities.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

The moneyline odds predictably have PSG as the big early favourites, with their price significantly shorter than the English side. 

However, with numerous absences, no new faces, and potential further departures, there might be better value in the draw or Aston Villa winning inside 90 minutes. 

Remember, Villa boss Emery is a cup specialist and all it could take is one opportunity for the Premier League side.

In the over/under total goals market, the ‘ Under 2.5 goals ’ bet appears to have stronger value than the over.

While both teams are known to play attacking soccer and leave gaps at the back, this game could likely be played at a slower pace than traditional European clashes, especially amid the expected lack of match fitness and absences.

With that in mind, the BTTS not hitting also has good value; it’s highly possible that one team doesn’t have the fluidity and natural rhythm that they usually boast, which could make it a difficult encounter for goals, especially if the game is slow.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest PSG vs Aston Villa betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that a PSG win is the most likely outcome, with the ‘ Under 2.5 Goals ’ market offering value.

The long shot is in the double chance ‘Aston Villa and Draw’ outcome. 

Both teams aren’t going to be at 100%, and neither will want to risk any major injuries before their domestic season starts, which could work in the English side’s favour.

Paris St-G
Draw
Aston Villa

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