
The Eagles beat the Italians 3-0 at home last week, and will head to Florence with a three-goal lead to defend for a place in the last four. Will they do it when they play on Friday, April 17 (05:00 AEST).
Quick Picks
Our pick: Crystal Palace to win
Value bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Long shot: BTTS not hitting
Betting Preview
Crystal Palace arguably produced their best performance of the tournament in last week's first leg, with Olivier Glasner's side taking a commanding lead.
Jean-Philippe Mateta managed to score a penalty to get the Eagles flying in the first half, with Tyrick Mitchell netting a goal just a few minutes later to give them a 2-0 lead. Ismaila Sarr put the final nail into the coffin for Paolo Vanoli's side, as he scored in the final moments of the game.
Palace dominated for large parts of the fixture, totalling 13 shots to Fiorentina's five. The Premier League side managed to have four of their attempts on target, while the Italians had just two. They also edged the majority share of the ball (51%).
As noted, it was arguably their best performance to date. Glasner's team have had to grind out results, needing the play-off route to reach this stage, having finished 10th after three wins, one draw, and two defeats. In those six games, they had scored 11 goals and conceded six. They would overcome Zrinjski 3-1 on aggregate before beating AEK Larnaca 2-1 on aggregate.
Fiorentina haven't been at their best, either. They would also need the play-off route to reach this stage, after Paolo Vanoli's side would finish 15th, winning three and losing three of their six games. They scored eight times but conceded five. They defeated Jagiellonia Białystok 5-4 on aggregate, then defeated another Polish outfit, Raków Częstochowa, 4-2 on aggregate in the knockouts.
Betting Markets to Watch
Fiorentina edge the pre-match betting odds for this upcoming counter, but we think there's value in Crystal Palace to win. Fiorentina may have beaten Raków Częstochowa at home in the previous round, but they were beaten 4-2 by Jagiellonia Białystok in the play-off at home. Palace have been solid on the road, drawing with Zrinjski (1-1) and beating AEK Larnaca (2-1). If you're new to Conference League betting, this tie offers a great example of how second-leg dynamics can shift value.
We think the Under 2.5 Goals is most likely. Fiorentina will need to go out and attack, but we think this game is likely to see Palace try and defend their lead as much as possible. Glasner's side will likely still attack, but it may be a case of trying to hit when on the break.
We think there could be additional value in the BTTS not hitting, given how defensive the English side may approach the game.
Our Prediction
Check the latest Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace betting odds at Sportsbet.
Our prediction is that Crystal Palace will likely win this game, although we think there may be more value in the 'Crystal Palace And Draw' bet in the Double Chance, given what's at stake. Palace's Premier League betting form has been solid this season, and that experience should serve them well in Florence. For those looking to explore more soccer betting options, this Conference League clash presents some intriguing markets.


