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Chelsea vs PSG Prediction & Betting Odds

16/03/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
Chelsea vs PSG

PSG will feel they have one foot in the next round of the UEFA Champions League after destroying Chelsea 5-2.

The Parisians will now travel to England to take on the Blues on Wednesday, March 18, at 07:00 AEDT, as they look to keep their title defence alive.

Quick Picks

Our pick: PSG to win

Value bet: 'Yes' in the BTTS

Long shot: Kvaratskhelia to score any time

Betting Preview

It was a disastrous night for Liam Rosenior's side in the first leg in the French capital. The English side created their own mistakes and were punished by Luis Enrique's superstars.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia punished them in the second half, having only just played around 30 minutes. He scored twice in a 10-minute spell toward the end of the game, turning the tie completely around.

PSG held a 3-2 lead before the Georgian's first goal, but things were looking a little tense. However, the attacker's two goals have put some breathing space between them and Chelsea before they head to England's capital.

For game context, PSG had 10 shots, with seven being on target. They also had more of the ball, having 58% possession, making more passes and creating more chances. Chelsea had seven attempts with four on target, but were played out of the game for much of it.

Betting Markets to Watch

The goals market is where value is worth exploring, as Chelsea know they have to score at least three to try and force additional time without conceding. It's worth noting that the Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit during the second leg in each of PSG's last six Champions League ties after winning the first leg.

It's also worth noting that in the last five head-to-head meetings in the UEFA Champions League between these two sides, the BTTS has hit in each of them. Although the FIFA Club World Cup saw Chelsea win 3-0 in America last year, history suggests that there's value in the BTTS hitting once again in this upcoming contest.

We think there'll be value in anytime goalscorer props when they are released, too. Kvaratskhelia is a player who is always dangerous and we think there'll be value in him to score once again. He now has six in 10 games this season, joint with Vitinha for the most. Vitinha also scored against Chelsea in the first leg, so he could also be worth value.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Chelsea vs PSG betting odds at Sportsbet.

A Chelsea win is suggested by the odds, but we think there's value in PSG winning the game. The English side have been extremely volatile of late, and conceding costly goals occurs more often than the Blues would like to admit. If you're new to soccer betting, this match offers plenty of markets to explore.

PSG already hold a big advantage, and scoring just one will make life difficult for Chelsea. Still, we think it'll be an open game and goals will be found for both teams. Paris St-G 2 - 1 offers value.

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