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FA Cup Final: Chelsea vs Man City Prediction & Betting Odds

13/05/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
chelsea vs man city

While Man City will still be involved in a Premier League title race, it'll be the only opportunity Chelsea will have to ensure a disappointing campaign has a positive note.

Still, is that something that will be likely to happen on Sunday, May 17 (KO at 00:00am AEDT).

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Man City win

Value bet: Under 2.5 Goals

Long shot: Man City in ET

 

Betting Preview

 

These two teams have already met twice this season, with both encounters coming in the English Premier League.

The first was in January, when Calum McFarlane took over from Enzo Maresca before Liam Rosenior arrived, and the game finished 1-1.

Rosenior had the next meeting in charge against Pep Guardiola's side, but came away from the Etihad Stadium with a 3-0 defeat in April.

Indeed, the head-to-head between the two sides over the last 10 games doesn't make for positive reading for the Londoners.

Man City have won seven of these matches, with three being drawn.

With the EPL title potentially still up for grabs, they'll be looking to make sure they get the job done and give themselves a chance of securing the English Treble after defeating Arsenal in the EFL Cup earlier in the year.

For those looking to wager on the domestic season, our Premier League betting guide covers the key markets and strategies.

It'll be a mystery as to how each side will line up at Wembley on the day.

The Blues will likely put out their best side but could be limited by injuries to key players, while the Cityzens' biggest decision will likely be down to the goalkeeper: stick with James Trafford or go with Gianluigi Donnarumma?

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Man City enter the FA Cup Final as huge favourites. Given the head-to-head, we think this will be the most likely outcome, so we feel there's better value to be had in alternative markets. You can find the latest FA Cup betting odds to compare your options.

When looking at goals, we think there's value in the 'Under 2.5 Goals' bet.

Of the last 10 played, seven have been under this total. While City are rampant and Chelsea have shown they can leak goals, the Blues have been better in recent efforts and appear to have some stability in defence.

Additional value could be in the BTTS not hitting. Chelsea have had their troubles finding the back of the net and have only just managed to find some form.

City have shown they can concede goals with frequency, but six of the wins they've managed out of the seven over the last 10 games have all come with a clean sheet.

Understanding what xG means can help assess whether these defensive trends are sustainable.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Chelsea vs Man City betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Man City likely win.

Our long shot is that this game goes to extra time, with the 'Man City in ET' market offering value.

For more Premier League predictions and tips throughout the season, check our dedicated hub.

Chelsea
Draw
Man City

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