<p>This week’s <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/world-cup-qualifying-update-2026-world-cup">2026 World Cup qualifying campaign</a> brings us to Sofia, where Bulgaria welcomes Spain. The match kicks off at 4:45 AM AEST on Friday, September 5 at Vasil Levski Stadium in Sofia, Bulgaria.</p> <p>Group E’s opening match matters instantly, as Spain want to build on their strong tournament form, while Bulgaria need a statement at home.</p> <p>Bulgaria start this campaign without recent tournament qualifications, and their form reflects inconsistency. They conceded four goals in a June friendly loss to Greece and drew with Cyprus during the same international window.</p> <p>Home ground gives them a boost, though, as they’ve often been hard to break down in Sofia. New call-ups like Rosen Bozhinov bring fresh energy to the defence. Expect them to stay compact and press Spain on the counter.</p> <h3>Spain’s Context and Strengths</h3> <p>Spain enter as the reigning European champions, having also reached the final of the most recent UEFA Nations League.</p> <p>Their forward lines, spearheaded by the likes of Lamine Yamal, remain potent, though recent competitive matches have included tighter scorelines.</p> <p>Spain are clear favourites to take control early with pure ball movement, creative flair, and defensive solidity carried over from recent form</p> <h3>Prediction: Tight Flow, Unders, and a Lean Toward Spain</h3> <p>This match feels destined to be tactical and tight. Over/under watchers may lean toward the under since both teams prefer structured play, and Bulgaria will look to disrupt Spain’s rhythm from the outset.</p> <p>On the margin, Spain should just edge this based on class and form, but expect a small pitch. Bulgaria’s resilience in front of their faithful could frustrate Spain long enough to keep it close. One-goal difference seems the most likely final mark.</p> <p>Momentum shifts will be key. Early Spain possession might unlock chances quickly, while Bulgaria live-play backers should watch for set-piece or counter bursts that can swing the game.</p> <p>Bottom line: <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/world-cup/fifa-world-cup-qualifiers-europe/bulgaria-v-spain-9402238">Spain should win, but not by much</a>. The pattern points to unders and tight spreads, with late-game tension until the final whistle.</p>