UEFA Champions League 2025/26: Benfica vs Real Madrid Betting Predictions
16/02/2026|SB Staff|Soccer Tips & Predictions
<p><em>Benfica shocked the soccer world the last time they met Real Madrid, recording a 4-2 victory in the final matchday of this year's UCL Group Phase.</em></p>
<p>Now, the two teams will face once again, as they prepare for a two-legged affair that will see the winners advance and the losers go home.</p>
<p>Will we see a repeat on Wednesday, February 18, at 07:00 AEDT when they meet in Portugal for the first leg? Will Jose Mourinho work his magic once again and haunt his former club?</p>
<p>Read on for our Benfica vs Real Madrid betting predictions…</p>
<h2>Quick Picks</h2>
<p><strong>Our pick: </strong>Benfica And Draw</p>
<p><strong>Value bet: </strong>Mbappe to score any time</p>
<p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Over 3.5 goals</p>
<h2>Betting Preview</h2>
<p>In truth, it was a surprise to see Real Madrid not qualify as one of the top eight teams. They finished 9th, needing just one point to secure their automatic berth. The loss against Benfica was costly, as Madrid had already acted by that point to relieve Xabi Alonso from his position as manager.</p>
<p>Benfica used the win to sneak into the UCL Play-Off, finishing in the final spot by virtue of goal difference. It was an incredible effort from Mourinho's men, who had struggled throughout the beginning of the campaign.</p>
<p>Still, the only meeting to have been held between these two teams since the 1960s went in favour of the Portuguese team when they were at home. Is this something to consider for this upcoming clash?</p>
<h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2>
<p>In our betting preview of the 2025/26 UCL Play-Offs, we went with the 'Benfica And Draw' in the Double Chance market as offering good value. Indeed, we think this because of what was experienced in January, while also noting the impact that Mourinho has had on the team.</p>
<p>In the 30 games he has taken charge of the club, he has a 60% win record, winning 18 of them (at the time of writing). Madrid, under Alvaro Arbeloa, have won five of his seven games so far, but with two defeats (including the 4-2 loss to Benfica).</p>
<p>If available, Kylian Mbappe should offer value as an anytime goalscorer. He leads the competition with 13 goals this season, while he has 23 in 22 <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/spain/spanish-la-liga">La Liga</a> games.</p>
<h2>Our Prediction</h2>
<p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/uefa-competitions/uefa-champions-league/benfica-v-real-madrid-10103131">Benfica vs Real Madrid betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p>
<p>We think that a draw is likely with this one, but with Benfica's win here last month, we think the 'Benfica And Draw' market offers value.</p>
<p>With the game being played over two legs, the visitors may not be on the accelerator as much as they perhaps should be, leading to Benfica having a chance to win.</p>
<p>For a long shot, we think there could be 'Over 3.5 Goals', with this having been hit in four of Madrid's UCL games this season, whilst Benfica have seen it hit twice.</p>
<h2>Keep Reading</h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-uefa-champions-league">Everything you need to know before betting on the Champions League</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/most-goals-football-history">The players who've found the net more than anyone else</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/soccer/soccer-news/most-trophies-football-history">Football's most decorated players of all time</a></li>
</ul>
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