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Belgium vs France Prediction and Betting Odds

SB Staff|28/09/2026|
Belgium vs France

 

Belgium will host France as the two nations continue competing in UEFA Nations League Group A, with aspirations of winning this edition of the tournament.

The two neighbouring countries will meet in Brussels at the King Baudouin Stadium on Tuesday, September 29, with kick-off scheduled for 04:45 AEST – and Belgium haven’t had the finest time in international football in recent times.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: France win

Value bet: Over 2.5 Goals

Long shot: France to win to Nil

 

Betting Preview

 

Mark van Bommel and Zinedine Zidane will have both had their first taste of international soccer management in their opening games against Italy and Turkiye, respectively.

They’ll be hoping to have learnt a lot from those performances about their group of players, whether their tactics have been implemented quickly, or if they need to make some immediate fixes.

It’s a match that will have caught the attention of many, especially those who have followed European soccer and watched the World Cup tournament.

The two nations have squads with world-renowned players who are among the best ever to play the game, even if a few are entering the twilight of their careers. Kevin De Bruyne (35), Romelu Lukaku (33) and Youri Tielemans (29) remain integral parts of the Belgium side.

Meanwhile, youth is perhaps a little more on France’s side, Kylian Mbappé (27) and Michael Olise (24) spearhead Les Bleus’ attack, alongside players such as Ousmane Dembélé (29), Désiré Doué (21), and Bradley Barcola (24).

This match will have caught the attention of many as these two nations are among the most successful since the tournament’s inception. France are a previous winner, having won the 2020-21 edition before a third-place finish in the last edition.

If you are new to backing sides in the Nations League, our guide to betting on European competitions is a good place to start.

And while Belgium are yet to win it, they do have a fourth-placed finish in the edition that France had won. The Belgians never quite lived up to the anticipation of their ‘golden generation’, though.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

France have been made the pre-match favourites, with their recent H2H perhaps the main reason behind the odds being offered. 

Les Bleus have won each of the last five meetings between these two nations, including two in the UNL in 2024 and one in the same competition in 2021. 

If you are weighing up a result bet, our explainer on the win-draw-win meaning breaks down how the market works.

Of the last 10 games, Belgium do hold two wins – an entertaining 4-3 victory in 2015 and a 2-1 win in 2002 (both friendlies). 

Of those 10, only two others were draws (both goalless), meaning France have won six.

The BTTS not hitting is an interesting value bet in this one; three of the last five have featured clean sheets. 

However, the most recent encounter ended 2-1 in France’s favour. 

Still, France have had defensive issues, and Belgium tend to find a way to score, so the BTTS hitting is more likely.

This means there’s value in the ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market. Interestingly, those fixtures with a clean sheet didn’t see this total hit. 

It is also worth noting that it has only hit in four of the last 10 meetings, but both teams are far from defensively stable at the moment, and both have significant attacking quality.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Belgium vs France betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that it will be a likely win for France.

A long shot is France to win 2-0, given the defensive reasons outlined above.

Belgium v France
29 Sep 04:45
Belgium
Draw
France

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How to Bet on the UEFA Nations League

How the Nations League works, its markets, and what makes it different.
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