<p><meta charset="utf-8"><em><span style="background-color:transparent;color:#000000;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:12pt;font-variant:normal;font-weight:400;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap;">Having played each other twice in successive matches across two competitions, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona will have grown sick and tired of each other.</span></em></p><p>However, one more game remains to be played – and it's a vital one – as they both battle for a place in the UEFA Champions League semi-finals, with the second leg on Wednesday, April 15 (06:00 AEST).</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Quick Picks</h2><p><strong>Our pick:</strong> Barcelona to win</p><p><strong>Value bet:</strong> BTTS to hit</p><p><strong>Long shot:</strong> Over 3.5 goals</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Betting Preview</h2><p>Barcelona would have entered the first leg feeling confident after a 2-1 victory in <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/spain/spanish-la-liga">La Liga betting</a>, but Hansi Flick's side were beaten 2-0 by Diego Simeone's men in Barcelona.</p><p>Pau Cubarsi was sent off in the 44th minute of the game. Julian Alvarez put the visitors 1-0 ahead on the stroke of halftime with an exceptional free-kick. Atletico would then make it 2-0 in the second half through Alexander Sorloth, handing them a comfortable margin to take back to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano.</p><p>It was a game in which Barcelona dominated, but showed that stats can often mean nothing as Atletico took advantage of the very few chances they had. Los Rojiblancos had just 45% of the ball and 5 shots on goal, with three on target. Of those three, they scored twice.</p><p>Flick's team pushed all game, having 15 attempts on goal, but they failed to beat Juan Musso with the eight that were on target.</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2><p>The fact that Barcelona failed to find the net is perhaps the most surprising aspect of the first leg. Atletico hadn't kept a clean sheet in the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-uefa-champions-league">Champions League betting</a> to that point, while Barcelona had scored in every game but one.</p><p>Still, we think normality will be restored in the second leg, especially as Barcelona will have to come out and attack. The <strong>'Over 2.5 Goals' market</strong> has hit in each of Atlético Madrid's last 10 Champions League Tuesday matches. Furthermore, of the last seven meetings, four have had <strong>over 3.5 goals.</strong></p><p>Still, in the last 12 games across all competitions, 8 have had over 2.5 goals. Seven of the last 12, though, saw just one team score. Nonetheless, the <strong>BTTS is still likely to hit in our view</strong>. It has in each of Barcelona's last eight Champions League Tuesday Knockout Stage matches.</p><h2>&nbsp;</h2><h2>Our Prediction</h2><p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/uefa-competitions/uefa-champions-league/atletico-madrid-v-barcelona-10353604">Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p><p><strong>Barcelona enter this game as big favourites, and we think this is the likely outcome</strong>. The Catalans won their last trip to Madrid a week or so ago, with the BTTS hitting in that game (2-1).</p><p>We think there's value in the <strong>'Over 3.5 Goals' market hitting</strong> in this one, given what's at stake. Barcelona have to come and attack, with a two-goal win margin only enough to force additional time. While Atletico may try to keep things tight, they've not been great at keeping the ball out of their net. For more insights on <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer">soccer betting</a>, explore our full range of markets.</p>