Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction and Betting Odds

It’s a top of the table clash in La Liga this weekend, with Atletico Madrid hosting leaders and reigning champions Barcelona.

The two clubs both come into this fixture on the back of midweek action, with contrasting results.

The Metropolitano will host this top Spanish soccer fixture, with the game scheduled for Monday, November 9, at 07:00 AEDT.

Quick Picks

Our pick: Barcelona to win

Value bet: Over 2.5 Goals

Long shot: Raphinha to score first

Betting Preview

Atletico have just hosted Bayern Munich in a tough UEFA Champions League match, with Diego Simeone’s side losing 2-0 to two second-half goals.

Barcelona, on the other hand, defeated English side Aston Villa 3-0 at home, with Lamine Yamal and a brace from Raphinha giving Hansi Flick’s team all three points in a comfortable win.

Barcelona have been exceptional across all competitions so far, losing just two of their 15 matches. However, one of those defeats was a surprise 2-1 loss to Real Madrid in El Clásico in Barcelona a couple of weeks ago.

They’ve since responded by defeating Alaves 6-1, with Yamal and Raphinha both netting twice, along with Fermin Lopez and Anthony Gordon. Atletico are just two points behind in the La Liga standings, having won their last seven matches.

This includes an impressive 2-1 victory over Real Madrid, while they enter on the back of three consecutive clean sheets against Espanyol (1-0), Deportivo (1-0), and Levante (2-0).

Los Rojiblancos are averaging two goals per game (22 through 11), ranking them third, but their defence has been near impenetrable.

They have conceded a league-low eight goals so far. Barcelona have conceded just 12, but they have scored a league-high 46 – and that’s incredibly 18 more than the next best (Real Madrid).

Betting Markets to Watch

Barcelona are the favourites entering this game. However, they’ve shown they can be beaten so a win here is not cast-iron. Indeed, Los Rojiblancos enter this match on a seven-game winning streak in La Liga, meaning there is value in the hosts.

The H2H would suggest Barca have the better chance, as they hold four wins across the last five meetings, including the last three visits, which is why the latest La Liga odds have them as short as they are.

Despite the solid defence that Atletico has this season, statistics and data point towards goals being scored.

The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Barcelona's last nine La Liga matches, while the 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in 13 of Atlético Madrid's last 14 La Liga matches as an underdog.

If markets like these are new to you, our guide on how to bet on La Liga breaks down where to look for value in a fixture like this one.

Barcelona just can’t seem to keep clean sheets either, with their last coming against Getafe four matches ago, while Atletico know how to find the back of the net.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Atletico vs Barcelona betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is for a Barcelona win, based on the H2H that these two teams share.

Our long shot is for Raphinha to be the first goalscorer. He has 19 goals in 13 games across La Liga and UCL appearances this season.

Fifteen of those have come in the league. His odds will likely be slightly longer as he doesn’t usually score first, but he is capable of doing so.