AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction and Betting Odds

Inter have taken 25 points from their first nine Serie A games, their best start since the league moved to three points for a win, yet the one side that had their number last season is waiting at San Siro.

Milan won both league derbies 1-0 in 2025-26, but Amorim's men shipped four at home to Bologna on Wednesday and the injury list is getting longer by the day.

Before we get to our full preview, here are the key details:

• Competition: Serie A, Matchday 10
• Venue: San Siro, Milan
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Start Time: 6:45am AEDT With an early 6:45am AEDT kick-off, it is worth sorting out where to watch Serie A in Australia before the derby gets underway.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Form and Head to Head

Inter sit top after eight wins and a draw, level with Lazio on points and goal difference but ahead on goals scored with 25. Wednesday's 2-0 win at Venezia made it four straight wins in all competitions.

It wasn't pretty, though, as a heavily rotated side needed two late own goals to get past the bottom side.

Milan are fifth on 18 points, seven back, and the 4-2 loss to Bologna stung because Alphadjo Cissè had them 2-1 up inside 27 minutes before Samuel Mbangula finished off a hat-trick.

The derby history is where Milan hold the edge.

Christian Pulisic won November's meeting and Pervis Estupiñán settled March's, which left Milan unbeaten in seven competitive derbies and winners of both league derbies in a season for the first time since 2010-11.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Team News

Inter are without captain Lautaro Martínez, who picked up a thigh injury against Club Brugge and has already missed four games.

Marcus Thuram started again in Venice and will lead the line, with Ange-Yoan Bonny and Pio Esposito the alternatives, while Benjamin Pavard, John Stones, Curtis Jones and Luis Henrique are also unavailable. Milan's list is much longer.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek is out until after the international break with a thigh tear, Matteo Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers and Samuel Chukwueze are long-term absentees, and Fikayo Tomori is a major doubt after coming off at half-time on Wednesday with a thigh problem.

There was better news on Thursday, though, as Adrien Rabiot, Mario Gila and Diego Moreira all returned to full training. Luka Modrić and Pulisic both started on the bench against Bologna and should return to the starting XI.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Betting Markets

The match result market is the obvious starting point, but this fixture gives punters plenty of other angles.

Both teams to score makes sense on paper given Milan just conceded four at home and Inter have averaged close to three goals a game, and a Draw No Bet on Inter is one way to lean their way while covering the derby's history of tight scorelines.

huram in the anytime goalscorer market stands out with Lautaro missing, and the first half result is worth a look given how slowly Inter started at Venezia.

For the latest AC Milan vs Inter Milan odds and markets, check out our dedicated Serie A odds page here at Sportsbet, and our Draw No Bet guide explains how that market works.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction: Our Pick

Our pick is Inter to win. Their 25 points from nine games is the best start any Inter side has made in the three points era, and the 25 goals they've scored are spread across a squad deep enough to cope without Lautaro.

Milan, on the other hand, have conceded 11 in nine league games and look short at the back, with Gabbia out and Tomori a major doubt.

Amorim's side are also in the middle of a run of nine matches in 27 days, while Inter left Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Nicolò Barella on the bench in Venice with this one in mind.

The risk is obvious enough, as Milan haven't lost any of their last seven competitive derbies, and Inter needed two late own goals to break down Venezia.