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Türkiye vs Paraguay Prediction

16/06/2026|SB Staff|World Cup 2026 Tips & Predictions

Group D at the World Cup continues to deliver intrigue as Vincenzo Montella's Türkiye take on Gustavo Alfaro's Paraguay in what shapes as a pivotal fixture for both nations' knockout hopes. 

The Crescent-Stars will arrive desperate to show their attacking quality after drawing a blank in their opener against Australia.

They certainly have the zest up top to trouble the scoreboard attendant, with the likes of Real Madrid wunderkind Arda Guler, Juventus livewire Kenan Yildiz and Porto's Deniz Gul. 

Montella's side will also fancy their chances of imposing control through Inter skipper Hakan Calhanoglu in midfield, but can they turn that control into goals? 

Paraguay, meanwhile, need to rediscover their bite under Alfaro. We expect them to once again lean on their Palmeiras spine of Gustavo Gomez and Ramon Sosa, with Brighton's Diego Gomez pulling strings and veteran Miguel Almiron providing the spark. 

La Albirroja's defensive resilience was their calling card during qualifying, and they will be desperate to rediscover that resolve after conceding four to the US in their opening game. 

If they are able to do that, they can frustrate a Turkish side expected to dominate possession, just as Australia did and we all know how that one ended. 

Also, to celebrate the momentous occasion that is the 2026 World Cup, Sportsbet is bringing back its exclusive Super Sub feature!

How does Super Sub work? Well, it’s very simple. Place a bet on select player markets throughout the Men’s World Cup and if that player is subbed off your bet rolls over to the new player that replaced them.

For example, if you’ve bet on Kerem Akturkoglu to score during this match and he fails to do so and is directly substituted for Deniz Gul who ends up scoring instead, your original bet on Akturkoglu is paid as a winner!

Super Sub is not exclusive to goalscoring markets either, it also applies to anytime assist, player to win one or more fouls, shots on target and more, just make sure to read all the T&Cs before locking in your bet.

Now back to the action! For the latest betting tips and analysis ahead of this Group D game at the 2026 World Cup, check out our Türkiye vs Paraguay tips and predictions below. 

 

Türkiye vs Paraguay Predictions 

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

Türkiye enter this fixture as favourites at 2.00, and there is value backing Montella's men to take the three points. 

Their attacking depth is simply on another level, with Guler, Yildiz, Kerem Akturkoglu and Calhanoglu all capable of unlocking a normally stubborn Paraguayan back four. 

Paraguay are traditionally well drilled defensively under Alfaro, but they have struggled to score consistently against possession-based sides, and Gustavo Gomez will have his hands full dealing with Türkiye's rotations. 

However, we have our doubts over Türkiye’s ability to break down the Paraguayans, and we expect the South Americans to mimic Australia’s low block that worked so effectively against Montella's men. This has low-scoring stalemate or full-on bore-draw written all over it. 

Betting tip: Draw.

 

Correct Score Prediction

With neither side being able to afford another defeat, we expect a very cagey affair here and the 1-1 draw at 6.00 stands out as the shortest-priced correct score on offer. 

Paraguay's compact defensive shape, marshalled by Omar Alderete and Junior Alonso, should keep things tight for long stretches, while Antonio Sanabria and Alex Arce carry enough threat to nick one on the counter. 

Türkiye will create chances through Guler and Yildiz, but Roberto Junior Fernandez has been in fine form between the sticks. A share of the spoils represents sensible value at the price.

Betting tip: 1-1. 

 

First Goal Prediction

Kerem Akturkoglu at 5.50 is the shortest-priced first goalscorer option, and the Fenerbahce winger has the profile to justify the tip. 

He has been one of Türkiye's most reliable attacking outlets, drifting in from the left flank to attack the back post and shooting on sight from distance. 

Against a Paraguayan side that tends to sit deep and concede territory, Kerem's ability to manufacture chances in tight spaces could prove decisive in the opening exchanges. He also takes set pieces, adding another route to opening the scoring early in this Group D clash.

Betting tip: Kerem Akturkoglu

 

Where to Watch Türkiye vs Paraguay

 

For the first time ever, Sportsbet is offering punters the chance to stream World Cup matches live*.

To watch Sportsbet’s live streams of the World Cup, you must:

- Be 18+.

- Have a Sportsbet account.

- Be logged into your Sportsbet account.

- Have a positive balance OR have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 

World Cup streaming is available both in-app and on-web. As long as you meet the above requirements, you’ll be able to tune in on your computer, tablet or phone.

To access the stream for Türkiye vs Paraguay simply find your way to the official betting page for this match. Or, if you have a bet on the game you can watch from your "My Bets" section.

Traditional World Cup broadcaster SBS is also showing every World Cup match, meaning you can also watch Türkiye vs Paraguay on either SBS, SBS Viceland or SBS On Demand. 

 

*18+ Available to Sportsbet customers only. Conditions apply – see sportsbet.com.au

*Odds are subject to change.

 

Türkiye vs Paraguay Match Details 

 

Date: Saturday, June 20, 2026. 

Kick-off: 1:00pm AEST. 

Location: Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco. 

Where to watch: Sportsbet, SBS. 

Türkiye
Draw
Paraguay

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