Both teams will meet on Wednesday, April 1 at 06:45 AEDT, with the winner going on to the Finals in the Australian winter.

Quick Picks

• Our pick: Italy to win
• Value bet: Bosnia (+1.0) in the handicap
• Long shot: '1-0 Italy correct score'

Betting Preview

Bosnia & Herzegovina secured their place in this game to be one more away from the major final by defeating Wales on penalties. They left it late, with Edin Dzeko scoring just four minutes from time to level the game at 1-1, before they stepped up and won 4-2 on penalties.

It wasn't their best performance, as they found themselves on the back foot for much of the game. Wales had 18 shots to Bosnia's 15, while they also had 60% of the ball. However, the visitors managed to get the all-important win by taking advantage of the opportunity presented to them.

Still, Italy will be a completely different proposition. After a disappointing qualification campaign, Gennaro Gattuso's squad managed to avoid an embarrassing upset at the hands of Northern Ireland when they won 2-0 in Bergamo. For those wondering whether Italy can make the 2026 World Cup, this match represents a crucial step in their journey.

The Azzurri dominated the game, but it required two second-half goals from Sandro Tonali and Moise Kean to secure the victory. The Italians had 61% of the ball and had 14 shots (50% on target), limiting Northern Ireland to just three attempts, with none on target.

Betting Markets to Watch

Italy are strong favourites to win this game, with their quality of players being a large reason for the short price being offered. Still, as we saw with Bosnia's win as underdogs against Wales, you can't discredit them immediately. If you're new to FIFA World Cup betting, this qualifier offers several interesting markets to explore.

This is why we feel that there is value in the handicap for Bosnia (+1.0). Bosnia have a decent defensive record at home, squeezed Wales 1-1 in 90' and then won on penalties, and they won't just fold at Bilino Polje.

The 'No' in the BTTS offers value worth exploring, as Italy have a strong backline and can grind out 1-0 or 2-0 wins; Bosnia are not prolific and often keep games tight, even at home. With this in mind, we think the 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'Italy 1-0 Correct Score' markets offer additional value. You could also consider combining legs in a Same Game Multi to boost your potential returns.

History shows both teams capable of cagey 0-0 or 1-1 first‑half results, especially in high‑pressure games, especially as this one is a Winner‑takes‑World‑Cup final.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think an Italy win is the most likely outcome. We believe that the game will be cagey, which is why we think there's value in the Bosnia handicap. An Italy 1-0 victory offers value worth exploring as a long shot with the handicap in mind, as well as Bosnia's decent defensive record at home and the unlikelihood of simply rolling over.