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Winter Olympics: Freestyle Skiing Betting Preview

07/02/2026|SB Staff|Olympics Tips & Predictions
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Freestyle skiing features 15 medal events, including moguls, aerials, dual moguls, ski cross, and freeski disciplines like slopestyle, halfpipe, big air, plus mixed team aerials.

With so many events on offer, it provides us with the potential to find some betting value at this year’s Milano Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics. You can bet on the Games with us in confidence, as we provide odds across all events, including the freestyle skiing discipline.

Freestyle skiing events take place throughout the Games, with the first on February 7 and the final on February 21, at venues like Livigno Snow Park and Aerials & Moguls Park.

Key dates (local time) to consider include:

  • Feb 7-10 for the Freeski slopestyle (men/women) finals 
  • Feb 10-14 for the Moguls & dual moguls (men/women) finals 
  • Feb 14-17 for the Freeski big air (men/women) finals 
  • Feb 17-21 for the Aerials (men/women/mixed team) & ski cross finals 
  • Feb 19-21 for the Freeski halfpipe (men/women) finals

Milano - Cortina Olympic Freestyle Skiing Betting Preview

Freestyle skiing events offer several betting angles for value.

In Moguls/Dual Moguls, air and turns score up to 30 points, with duals pitting athletes head-to-head. The top 20 qualify based on speeds, so consistent World Cup performers hold value.

Aerials use a formula: Air (20%), Form (50%), and Landing (30%) from five judges, multiplied by Degree of Difficulty. The best jump counts, creating edges for wind-resilient underdogs.

Ski cross features four-per-heat elimination races lasting 45-60 seconds amid jumps and turns. Historically, 40-50% of favourites crash; inside gates post-seeding win 60%+ of events, favouring live props.

Freeski (Slopestyle/Halfpipe/Big Air) relies on subjective judging for difficulty, amplitude, execution, and style at Livigno. Risk-takers can provide bettors with additional value over favourites.

Milano - Cortina Olympic Freestyle Skiing Betting Predictions

We’ve highlighted who we believe are the most likely to win each event, believing that there is betting value on offer in these picks:

  • Men's Moguls: Mikael Kingsbury (CAN) - 100th WC win, 6x Olympic medalist, Globe leader
  • Women's Moguls: Jakara Anthony (AUS) - Olympic champ, 26 WC wins, unbeaten streak
  • Men's Dual: Ikuma Horishima (JPN) - Defending medal, head-to-head specialist
  • Women's Dual: Jaelin Kauf (USA) - WC titles, consistent bracket climber
  • Men's Aerials: Sun Jiaxu (CHN) - WC podiums, height/form edge
  • Women's Aerials: Xu Mengtao (CHN) - Olympic gold, extremely technical
  • Mixed Team: China - Recent sweeps, strong synchronisation
  • Men's Ski Cross: Reece Howden (CAN) - 3x Globe, crash-resistant leader
  • Women's Ski Cross: Simone Deromedis (ITA) - Home track, WC top-3 speed
  • Men's Freeski Slopestyle: Alex Hall (USA) - WC #1 2025, versatile course fit
  • Women's Freeski Slopestyle: Eileen Gu (CHN) - 20 WC wins, multi-podium threat
  • Men's Freeski Big Air: Miro Tabanelli (ITA) - First 2340 lander, X Games gold
  • Women's Freeski Big Air: Flora Tabanelli (ITA) - Worlds champ, home advantage
  • Men's Freeski Halfpipe: Alex Ferreira (USA) - 7/7 WC wins 2025, amplitude king​
  • Women's Freeski Halfpipe: Eileen Gu (CHN) - Defending gold, record spins
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