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Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors Prediction

11/04/2025|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

There’s lopsided rivalries and then there’s this one. When the Warriors make the trip to AAMI Park on Sunday, they’ll be trying to reverse a curse that has been upon them for nearly 10 years.

For all their improvements in recent years, Mt. Melbourne is one summit the Wahs have been unable to climb.

They have lost their last 16 consecutive meetings against the Storm and it’s no surprise to see they are at long odds to stop it being 17 here.

Still, they’ll be fresh after a week off and hoodoos have to be broken some time, right? Well, not necessarily.

Let’s take a look at how these two teams will line up for this one, along with some betting tips for the H2H, first try scorer and over/under markets. This is our Storm vs Warriors prediction.

 

Storm vs Warriors Teams

 

Melbourne Storm

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen

2. Grant Anderson

3. Jack Howarth

4. Moses Leo

5. Xavier Coates

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

14. Tyran Wishart

15. Alec MacDonald

16. Tui Kamikamica

17. Bronson Garlick

 

New Zealand Warriors

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad

2. Taine Tuaupiki

3. Rocco Berry

4. Ali Leiataua

5. Adam Pompey

6. Chanel Harris-Tavita

7. Luke Metcalf

8. James Fisher-Harris

9. Wayde Egan

10. Mitch Barnett

11. Kurt Capewell

12. Marata Niukore

13. Erin Clark

14. Bunty Afoa

15. Jackson Ford

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Leka Halasima

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Storm vs Warriors Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

What a welcome back from a week off for the Warriors here. They’ll fly straight from New Zealand and into the eye of the Storm at AAMI Park.

Some of the link up between the Melbourne’s big three of Papenhuyzen, Munster and Hughes would have sent shivers down the spine of any Warrior’s defenders who chose to tune in to the Storm’s win over Manly during their week off.

In a big boost for Melbourne fullback Ryan Papenhuyzen has been cleared to play, despite reports earlier in the week that he was set for another stint on the sidelines.

With the H2H odds so heavily skewed in the Storm’s favour, it’s easy to forget that these two sides are actually equal on competition points so far this season.

That’s about all that is equal however and the fact that Melbourne has won each of its last 16 matches against New Zealand is simply impossible to ignore when trying to pick the winner here.

Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.

 

First Try Scorer Prediction

Fresh off a hat-trick against, Storm winger Grant Anderson has firmly put his hand up for this market.

In an interesting statistical turn, Anderson has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances against teams on a winning streak, which is something the Warriors are currently on.

We’ll be looking to him to be the first to find the tryline at AAMI Park on Sunday afternoon.

Betting tip: Grant Anderson.

 

Over/Under Prediction

The Warriors have been known to concede some eye-watering totals in this fixture and each of Melbourne's last six day matches at AAMI Park have gone over the total match points line.

Therefore it won’t come as a surprise that we are tipping the total match points line of 51.5 to be breached in this one.

Betting tip: Over total match points.

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Storm vs Warriors Match Details

 

Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025.

Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST.

Location: AAMI PARK, Melbourne. 

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