Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors Prediction
11/04/2025|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & TipsThere’s lopsided rivalries and then there’s this one. When the Warriors make the trip to AAMI Park on Sunday, they’ll be trying to reverse a curse that has been upon them for nearly 10 years.
For all their improvements in recent years, Mt. Melbourne is one summit the Wahs have been unable to climb.
They have lost their last 16 consecutive meetings against the Storm and it’s no surprise to see they are at long odds to stop it being 17 here.
Still, they’ll be fresh after a week off and hoodoos have to be broken some time, right? Well, not necessarily.
Let’s take a look at how these two teams will line up for this one, along with some betting tips for the H2H, first try scorer and over/under markets. This is our Storm vs Warriors prediction.
Storm vs Warriors Teams
Melbourne Storm
1. Ryan Papenhuyzen
2. Grant Anderson
3. Jack Howarth
4. Moses Leo
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eli Katoa
13. Trent Loiero
14. Tyran Wishart
15. Alec MacDonald
16. Tui Kamikamica
17. Bronson Garlick
New Zealand Warriors
1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Taine Tuaupiki
3. Rocco Berry
4. Ali Leiataua
5. Adam Pompey
6. Chanel Harris-Tavita
7. Luke Metcalf
8. James Fisher-Harris
9. Wayde Egan
10. Mitch Barnett
11. Kurt Capewell
12. Marata Niukore
13. Erin Clark
14. Bunty Afoa
15. Jackson Ford
16. Demitric Vaimauga
17. Leka Halasima

Storm vs Warriors Prediction and Betting Tips
Head-to-Head Prediction
What a welcome back from a week off for the Warriors here. They’ll fly straight from New Zealand and into the eye of the Storm at AAMI Park.
Some of the link up between the Melbourne’s big three of Papenhuyzen, Munster and Hughes would have sent shivers down the spine of any Warrior’s defenders who chose to tune in to the Storm’s win over Manly during their week off.
In a big boost for Melbourne fullback Ryan Papenhuyzen has been cleared to play, despite reports earlier in the week that he was set for another stint on the sidelines.
With the H2H odds so heavily skewed in the Storm’s favour, it’s easy to forget that these two sides are actually equal on competition points so far this season.
That’s about all that is equal however and the fact that Melbourne has won each of its last 16 matches against New Zealand is simply impossible to ignore when trying to pick the winner here.
Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.
First Try Scorer Prediction
Fresh off a hat-trick against, Storm winger Grant Anderson has firmly put his hand up for this market.
In an interesting statistical turn, Anderson has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances against teams on a winning streak, which is something the Warriors are currently on.
We’ll be looking to him to be the first to find the tryline at AAMI Park on Sunday afternoon.
Betting tip: Grant Anderson.
Over/Under Prediction
The Warriors have been known to concede some eye-watering totals in this fixture and each of Melbourne's last six day matches at AAMI Park have gone over the total match points line.
Therefore it won’t come as a surprise that we are tipping the total match points line of 51.5 to be breached in this one.
Betting tip: Over total match points.

Storm vs Warriors Match Details
Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025.
Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST.
Location: AAMI PARK, Melbourne.