The Brisbane Broncos are staring down a 0-3 start to their premiership defence as they face the Melbourne Storm in a Grand Final rematch at AAMI Park on Friday night.

The Broncos were upset 40-32 by the Eels last Thursday and are still searching for consistency defensively, while the Storm demolished the Dragons 46-20 last week and have racked up big scores across their opening two wins.

Making matters worse for the Broncos, they head to AAMI Park – a venue where they have lost nine matches in a row and 13 from 16 overall.

Craig Bellamy has strengthened his squad with Trent Loiero back from suspension on the interchange, while Alec MacDonald is named in the extended squad as he eyes a return from concussion.

Grant Anderson will debut against his former club on Brisbane’s wing, shifting Deine Mariner to the centres and Gehamat Shibasaki to the interchange, with Jack Gosiewski (concussion) out and Xavier Willison to start.

For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of this Grand Final rematch, check out our Storm vs Broncos tips and predictions below.

Storm vs Broncos Prediction and Betting Tips

Head-to-Head Prediction

The second part of Friday night’s double delight is as big as they come, with the Storm hosting the Broncos in a replay of last year’s Grand Final.

It was the Broncos who of course triumphed on that occasion and oh how they’ll be desperate to run it back here.

Alarm bells are officially already ringing at Red Hill, with Brisbane 0-2 to start the season.

Despite being the reigning champions, and playing their last two games at home, Michael Maguire’s men became the first set of champions in five years to start a season with two losses.

Now, it’s odds on to become three. Melbourne have been the antithesis of Brisbane, winning their opening two games with aplomb.

In fact, they came just two points shy of clocking up a combined total of 100 across their opening pair of games in their win over the Dragons. Though something tells us they’re going to breach that 100-point mark here and then some.

Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.

First Try Scorer Prediction

Ryan who? Melbourne man Sualauvi Fa'alogo has been on fire for the Storm since taking over Ryan Papenhuyzen’s vacant No.1 jersey at the start of the season.

Fa'alogo has scored two or more tries in each of Melbourne's last two matches and is our tip for first try scorer in this one.

Betting tip: Sualauvi Fa'alogo.

Over/Under Prediction

Each of Brisbane's last four away matches have gone over the total match points line.

Betting tip: Over (54.5) total match points.

Line Prediction

The underdog has covered the line in each of Brisbane's last six matches.

Betting tip: Brisbane Broncos (+7.5) line.

Storm vs Broncos Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips

Reece Walsh

Reece Walsh has scored a try in each of Brisbane's last four away matches.

Jahrome Hughes

Jahrome Hughes has scored a try in three of Melbourne's last four matches.

Deine Mariner

Deine Mariner has scored at least one try in each of Brisbane's last three matches as an underdog.

Kotoni Staggs

Kotoni Staggs has scored a try in three of Brisbane's last four away matches.

Storm vs Broncos Teams

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Sua Fa'alogo 

2. Will Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Moses Leo

5. Nick Meaney

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant (c)

10. Josh King

11. Joe Chan

12. Ativalu Lisati

13. Tui Kamikamica

14. Tyran Wishart 

15. Trent Loiero

16. Davvy Moale

17. Cooper Clark

18. Alec MacDonald

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Deine Mariner

5. Grant Anderson

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds (doubtful)

8. Corey Jensen

9. Cory Paix

10. Payne Haas

11. Xavier Willison

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

14. Ben Hunt

15. Ben Talty

16. Aublix Tawha

17. Gehamat Shibasaki

18. Brendan Piakura

Storm vs Broncos Match Details

Date: Friday, March 20, 2026.

Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT.

Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne.