New Zealand vs Tonga Prediction – Pacific Championships Round 3 2025
29/10/2025|SB Staff|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips
<p>The final game of the regular rounds of the Rugby League Pacific Championships is this absolute showstopper between New Zealand and Tonga.</p>
<p>The make up of the final depends completely on the outcome of this result, with all three nations in the tier one Pacific Cup still eligible to make the big dance on November 9.</p>
<p>Samoa and New Zealand are in the box seat, with Tonga in the most danger of missing out on the final after copping a Samoan smackdown at Suncorp Stadium last Sunday.</p>
<p>That 28-point loss has left their for and against in tatters, meaning they need a monster showing against the Kiwis here to bust into the big one. Can they do it?</p>
<p>Looking for all the latest team news, analysis, odds, and betting tips ahead of this massive matchup? Check out our New Zealand vs Tonga predictions below.</p>
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<h2>New Zealand vs Tonga Betting Tips and Predictions</h2>
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<h3>Head-to-Head Prediction</h3>
<p>Can Tonga turn it around after being blown out of the water by Samoa in their Pacific Championships opener last Sunday?</p>
<p>They’ll have to be much, much better than they were in that encounter when they head to the cauldron that is Eden Park to take on the Kiwis.</p>
<p>New Zealand are in the box seat to qualify for next week’s final, having already beaten Samoa and now getting to take on recently tamed Tonga, at home.</p>
<p>The H2H odds suggest it will be the Kiwis who run out comfortable winners here, but Tonga played well below their talent level against Samoa, and it pays to remember their side still contains names such as: Isaiya Katoa, Addin Fonua Blake and Leka Halasima.</p>
<p>Young Isaiya in particular needs to stand up and get his claws into this game, after failing to take control of the contest against Samoa.</p>
<p>His match up against his veteran opposite number Kieran Foran, who could potentially run out on a Rugby League field as a professional for the last time should NZ lose by a large enough margin here, will be an interesting battle.</p>
<p>Their contrasting style will be indicative of just how much the game has evolved over the last 10-15 years, as one elite halfback at the start of their journey meets one at their end of theirs.</p>
<p>We’re sure Katoa will go on to taste plenty of success not just with Tonga, but also individually as the years roll by, but we’re tipping this day to belong to the old dog Foran and his Kiwi side.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-league/international-matches/new-zealand-v-tonga-9775893">New Zealand.</a></p>
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<h3>First Tryscorer</h3>
<p>Penrith centre Casey McLean cleaned up for the Kiwis in their Pacific Championships opener against Samoa and we’re backing him to run it back against Tonga.</p>
<p>The teenage sensation not only opened the scoring on his international debut, he crossed for the first two tries of the contest, sending New Zealand on their way towards a crucial win.</p>
<p>Look to Kiwi halves Brown and Foran to swing it to his side early to see if they can get him across the stripe before anyone else again.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> Casey McLean.</p>
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<h2>New Zealand vs Tonga Anytime Tryscorer Predictions</h2>
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<h3>Jamayne Isaako</h3>
<p>Last season’s leading points scorer, Kiwi flyer Jamayne Isaako is equally as talented with both the boot and ball in hand. That’s why it’s no surprise he is the favourite in the anytime try scorer market for this clash.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3>Daniel Tupou</h3>
<p>If anyone is going to get across the line for Tonga, surely, it’s the fourth <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/nrl/news/most-nrl-tries">highest try scorer in NRL history</a>.</p>
<p>Roosters record try scorer Daniel Tupou simply needs the service his try scoring talents deserve and if his halfback Isaiya Katoa can provide it, he’s as good a choice as any in the anytime try scorer market.</p>
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<h3>Kieran Foran</h3>
<p>This pick is equal parts value and equal parts nostalgia. This could very well be Kieran Foran’s last ever game of professional footy and what a sight it would be to see him score one last four-pointer.</p>
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<h3>Tolutau Koula</h3>
<p>The only man to score for Tonga in their disaster class against Samoa, Tolutau Koula will fancy his chances of grabbing another meat pie at some point during this one.</p>
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<h2>New Zealand vs Tonga Team Lists</h2>
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<h3>New Zealand Team List</h3>
<p>1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad</p>
<p>2. Jamayne Isaako</p>
<p>3. Matt Timoko</p>
<p>4. Casey McLean</p>
<p>5. Seb Kris</p>
<p>6. Dylan Brown</p>
<p>7. Kieran Foran</p>
<p>8. James Fisher-Harris</p>
<p>9. Phoenix Crossland</p>
<p>10. Moses Leota</p>
<p>11. Briton Nikora</p>
<p>12. Isaiah Papali'i</p>
<p>13. Joseph Tapine</p>
<p>14. Te Maire Martin</p>
<p>15. Naufahu Whyte</p>
<p>16. Erin Clark</p>
<p>17. Xavier Willison</p>
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<h3>Tonga Team List</h3>
<p>1. Lehi Hopoate</p>
<p>2. Daniel Tupou</p>
<p>3. Tolu Koula</p>
<p>4. Paul Alamoti</p>
<p>5. Sione Katoa</p>
<p>6. Isaiah Iongi</p>
<p>7. Isaiya Katoa</p>
<p>8. Addin Fonua-Blake</p>
<p>9. Siliva Havili</p>
<p>10. Felise Kaufusi</p>
<p>11. Eli Katoa</p>
<p>12. Siua Wong</p>
<p>13. Jason Taumalolo</p>
<p>14. Soni Luke</p>
<p>15. Leka Halasima</p>
<p>16. Demitric Vaimauga</p>
<p>17. Moeaki Fotuaika</p>
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<h2>New Zealand vs Tonga Match Details</h2>
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<p><strong>Date:</strong> Sunday, November 2, 2025.</p>
<p><strong>Kick-off:</strong> 3:05pm AEST.</p>
<p><strong>Location:</strong> Eden Park, Auckland, New Zealand. </p>
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