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Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers Prediction – Round 23 2025

06/08/2025|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

The Penrith Panthers will aim to extend their eight-match winning streak to nine, when they visit the Newcastle Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday evening.

After blowing a 24-0 half-time lead against the Titans last week, the Panthers needed a two-point field goal from Nathan Cleary to force golden point, where they triumphed 30-26.

The Knights will be hoping their Round 21 bye can help them avoid a fifth straight loss, with the most recent being a 44-18 whack from Canberra.

On the team front, Newcastle welcome back Bradman Best and will hand a club debut to Jake Arthur at five-eighth as he replaces Tyson Gamble.

Jackson Hastings and Jack Hetherington have been dropped, replaced by Thomas Cant and Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana.

There’s a big blow for Penrith with Isaah Yeo is out with a shoulder injury, which sees Isaiah Papali'i start at lock and Liam Martin into the second row.

Check out our Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers match preview for plenty of betting tips and predictions across a host of markets. From H2H to anytime try scorer and everything in between. 

Looking for all the latest news, analysis, odds, and betting tips ahead of this one? Check out our Knights vs Panthers prediction below.

 

Knights vs Panthers Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

After taking part in the most entertaining game of the season, the Penrith Panthers will travel to the Hunter Valley as they look to keep their remarkable win streak alive.

After a golden point epic up on the Gold Coast that included a two-point field goal from Nathan Cleary to level proceedings at 26-26 with a minute to play, the Panthers now sit just one point outside of the top four.

If they win here and the Warriors lose later in the week, they will have gone from dead last to fourth on the back of a nine-game winning streak, in scenes rarely seen before.

We’re backing them to keep up their end of the bargain against a rested, but ultimately lacklustre Newcastle outfit.

Betting tip: Penrith Panthers.

 

First Tryscorer Prediction

Thomas Jenkins has scored at least one try in each of Penrith's last five away matches. He also opened the scoring last week and has become one of Nathan Cleary’s favourite aerial targets.

He’s got plenty going for him and presents a very viable option for the first try scorer market in our opinion.

Betting tip: Thomas Jenkins.

 

Line Prediction

Penrith has failed to cover the line in five of its last six matches against teams on a losing streak.

Betting tip: Newcastle Knights (+11.5).

 

Knights vs Panthers Anytime Tryscorer Betting Tips

 

Fletcher Hunt

Fletcher Hunt has scored a try in each of his four previous appearances against opponents that were ranked in the top eight.

 

Dylan Edwards

Dylan Edwards has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances against opponents that were ranked lower on the ladder.

 

Dominic Young

Dominic Young has scored at least one try in six of his last seven home appearances against teams on a winning streak.

 

Casey McLean

Casey McLean has scored at least one try in each of Penrith's last three matches.

 

Knights vs Panthers Teams

 

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Dane Gagai

2. Dom Young

3. Fletcher Hunt

4. Bradman Best

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Jake Arthur

7. Jack Cogger

8. Jacob Saifiti

9. Jayden Brailey

10. Leo Thompson

11. Jermaine McEwen

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Phoenix Crossland

14. Thomas Cant

15. Mat Croker

16. Tyson Frizell

17. Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana

 

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards 

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Brian To'o

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Luke Garner

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaiah Papali'i

14. Brad Schneider

15. Liam Henry

16. Matthew Eisenhuth

17. Scott Sorensen

 

Knights vs Panthers Match Details

 

Date: Friday, August 8, 2025.

Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST.

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle. 

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