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Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos Prediction – Round 25 2025

21/08/2025|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

The Newcastle Knights will be desperate to bounce back after a humiliating 38-4 loss to the Cowboys in Round 24, but they face an uphill battle when they host the Brisbane Broncos at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Broncos, fresh off a commanding 38-20 win over the Dolphins, are eyeing a push into the top four. 

Currently sitting sixth on the ladder, Michael Maguire’s men have their finals destiny in their own hands, while the Knights languish near the bottom in 16th place.

Here’s how the Knights and Broncos line up for this clash, as well as some betting tips for the H2H, first try scorer, and over/under markets. This is our Knights vs Broncos prediction.

 

Knights vs Broncos Team Lists

 

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Connor Votano

2. Dominic Young

3. Dane Gagai

4. Bradman Best 

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Jake Arthur 

7. Jack Cogger

8. Jacob Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland 

10. Leo Thompson

11. Jermaine McEwen 

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Tyson Frizell 

14. Jayden Brailey  

15. Mat Croker

16. Thomas Cant 

17. Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana

 

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Deine Mariner 

6. Billy Walters

7. Ben Hunt

8. Corey Jensen 

9. Cory Paix

10. Payne Haas

11. Jaiyden Hunt 

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

14. Tyson Smoothy 

15. Kobe Hetherington

16. Ben Talty

17. Jesse Arthars

 

Knights vs Broncos Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

The Broncos should be overwhelming favourites, and for good reason. 

Brisbane’s attack has clicked into gear at the right time of the season, with Reece Walsh and Deine Mariner causing headaches on the edges. 

Newcastle, meanwhile, have struggled for points and confidence, managing just one try in their last outing.

The Knights have lost their last five matches against the Broncos and have lost their last six matches this season.

Betting tip: Brisbane Broncos

 

First Try Scorer Prediction

The Broncos love to generate early momentum through the middle, before sweeping right with Reece Walsh chiming in out the back. 

Walsh’s speed and passing game often create space for Kotoni Staggs and, crucially, Mariner on the wing. 

That shift play has been a staple of Brisbane’s attack all season and is often their go-to set when looking to land the first blow.

If Brisbane look to assert themselves early, expect Walsh to swing the ball to the right, giving Mariner prime opportunity to strike first.

Betting tip: Deine Mariner

 

Over/Under Prediction

Brisbane’s attack has averaged more than 28 points per game across their last three outings. 

In four of their last five games, they have scored 20 points or more and with the Knights struggling with their new spine combination, the Broncos could break this game open very quickly.

Newcastle’s defensive lapses suggest this one could open up.

Betting tip: Over total match points

 

Knights vs Broncos Match Details

 

Date: Sunday August 24

Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

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