Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm Prediction – Round 22 2025
31/07/2025|Joel Caine|NRL Expert Predictions & TipsAfter recording a shock win over the Broncos, the Parramatta Eels will be out to play party poopers again when they host the Melbourne Storm at CommBank Stadium on Thursday night.
Mitch Moses’ return sparked a form revival for the Eels and helped enhance their chances of avoiding the wooden spoon. However, a big challenge awaits here with the Storm riding a five-match winning streak over the Eels, which includes a 56-18 demolition job at the start of this season.
The Storm held on in a thriller over the Roosters last week, but the win came at a huge cost with Jahrome Hughes dislocating his shoulder. In better news, Cameron Munster and Ryan Papenhuyzen are slated to return with Tyran Wishart moving to halfback to partner Munster, while Nick Meaney moves into the centres. Kane Bradley is the man to make way to accommodate this move.
Elsewhere, Trent Loiero is being rested, which moves Tui Kamikamica to start at lock. As for the Eels, they are unchanged 1 through to 17.
Check out our Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm match preview for plenty of betting tips and predictions across a host of markets. From H2H to anytime try scorer and everything in between.
So, for all the latest news, analysis, odds, and betting tips ahead of this mouthwatering matchup, check out our Eels vs Storm prediction below.
Eels vs Storm Prediction and Betting Tips
Head-to-Head Prediction
They couldn’t slay another giant, could they? The Parramatta Eels produced the headline result of last round, ending the Broncos five-game winning streak, while bringing to a close their own three-game winless run.
If they want to keep the wolves away for a second consecutive week and put further real estate between them and a potential wooden spoon, they’re going to have to pull off one of the upsets of the season.
They welcome the Melbourne Storm to CommBank Stadium in what will be a tale of two halves. Eels skipper Mitchell Moses returned from injury last week and underlined his standing as one of the game’s most influential players, with a masterclass that had the Eels looking nothing like their usual, timid selves.
With one star playmaker back from injury, another has succumbed to it. Reigning Dally M Medallist and Melbourne maestro Jahrome Hughes dislocated his shoulder in his side’s insane 34-30 win over the Roosters last week.
While he has been cleared of serious damage and should return before finals, he will have to sit this one out.
Does this open the window for the Eels to pull off another shock? As tempting as it is to follow Moses to the promised land of value, there’s just no way the Eels could pull off back-to-back upsets of this magnitude, right?
Betting tip: Melbourne Storm.
First Tryscorer Prediction
Returning Storm superstar Ryan Papenhuyzen loves playing against the Eels. He has scored at least one try in each of his last three appearances against Parramatta and he’s the man we’re backing to open the scoring on Thursday night.
Betting tip: Ryan Papenhuyzen.
Over/Under Prediction
Three of the last four matches between the Parramatta Eels and the Melbourne Storm have gone over the total match points line.
Betting tip: Over total match points (+46.5).
Line Prediction
The underdog has covered the line in each of Parramatta's last four night matches at CommBank Stadium.
Betting tip: Parramatta Eels (+10.5).
Eels vs Storm Anytime Tryscorer Betting Tips
Harry Grant
Harry Grant has scored at least one try in each of Melbourne's last six matches against Parramatta.
Zac Lomax
Zac Lomax has scored at least one try in each of Parramatta's last four matches.
Grant Anderson
Grant Anderson has scored at least one try in five of Melbourne's last six matches against opponents that were ranked in the bottom four.
Will Penisini
Will Penisini has scored a try in three of Parramatta's last four home matches against opponents that were ranked in the top four.
Xavier Coates
In six of Parramatta's last seven matches at CommBank Stadium, the opposition's starting left wing has scored at least one try.
Eels vs Storm Teams
Parramatta Eels Team List
1. Joash Papali'i
2. Zac Lomax
3. Will Penisini
4. Sean Russell
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Dean Hawkins
7. Mitchell Moses
8. J'maine Hopgood
9. Ryley Smith
10. Junior Paulo
11. Charlie Guymer
12. Jack Williams
13. Dylan Walker
14. Tallyn Da Silva
15. Luca Moretti
16. Matt Doorey
17. Sam Tuivaiti
Melbourne Storm Team List
1. Ryan Papenhuyzen
2. Grant Anderson
3. Jack Howarth
4. Nick Meaney
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Tyran Wishart
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eliesa Katoa
13. Tui Kamikamica
14. Jonah Pezet
15. Ativalu Lisati
16. Bronson Garlick
17. Joe Chan
Eels vs Storm Match Details
Date: Thursday, July 31, 2025.
Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST.
Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney.