St George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers Prediction – Round 27 2025

The St. George Illawarra Dragons will close out another disappointing campaign when they face the Penrith Panthers at WIN Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

After still being top eight contenders through wins over the Raiders and Sharks in early August, the Dragons have plummeted during the last three weeks and will miss finals for the ninth time in the past 10 seasons.

The Panthers rested virtually their entire squad last week to be freshened and primed for another finals tilt, but this year they will not only need to win it from outside the top four, but after playing an elimination final on the road.

Brian To’o and Liam Martin will have another rest, meaning Paul Alamoti keeps his spot on the wing and last week’s captain Matt Eisenhuth stays in the 17. The Dragons head in unchanged from last week.

Check out our St George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers match preview for plenty of betting tips and predictions across a host of markets. From H2H to anytime try scorer and everything in between. 

Looking for all the latest news, analysis, odds, and betting tips ahead of this clash? Check out our Dragons vs Panthers prediction below.

 

Dragons vs Panthers Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

One of the many dead rubbers that always materialise this time of year, this result will largely hinge on who the Panthers do or do not pick to play.

Frozen in seventh, there is no incentive for them to try and win this match, but will they rest 16 players again like they did last week?

We doubt it, as they’ll want to make sure their big hitters aren’t too rusty heading into the finals.

Unless they do wheel out the kids once again, we can't see Penrith losing to a St George side who gave up on season 2025 some weeks ago and have been conceding points for fun as they limp to a lowly 15th placed finish.

Betting tip: Penrith Panthers.

 

First Tryscorer Prediction

With Brian To’o getting another rest in before his side’s tough title tilt, Paul Alamoti gets to keep the try-scoring hot spot that is the Panthers wing.

Alamoti has scored a try in each of his last four appearances and is our tip for first try scorer here.

Betting tip: Paul Alamoti.

 

Over/Under Prediction

Four of St. George Illawarra's last five home matches against Penrith have gone over the total match points line

Betting tip: Over total match points (47.5).

 

Dragons vs Panthers Anytime Tryscorer Betting Tips

 

Tyrell Sloan

In each of St. George Illawarra's last 10 matches at WIN Stadium, its starting left wing has scored at least one try.

 

Thomas Jenkins

Thomas Jenkins has scored at least one try in each of his last six away appearances.

 

Christian Tuipulotu

Christian Tuipulotu has scored at least one try in each of his last five appearances at WIN Stadium.

 

Casey McLean

Casey McLean has scored at least one try in five of his last six appearances.

 

Dragons vs Panthers Teams

 

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

1. Clint Gutherson

2. Christian Tuipulotu

3. Hayden Buchanan

4. Mathew Feagai

5. Tyrell Sloan

6. Lyhkan King-Togia

7. Kyle Flanagan

8. Emre Guler

9. Damien Cook

10. David Klemmer

11. Jacob Halangahu

12. Jaydn Su'A

13. Jack de Belin

14. Jacob Liddle

15. Luciano Leilua

16. Hame Sele

17. Loko Pasifiki Tonga

 

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Paul Alamoti  

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary 

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Scott Sorensen

12. Luke Garner

13. Isaah Yeo

14. Brad Schneider 

15. Liam Henry 

16. Isaiah Papali'i

17. Matthew Eisenhuth

 

Dragons vs Panthers Match Details

 

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025.

Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST.

Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong.