Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction – Round 11 2025

The St. George Illawarra Dragons will be desperate to end their losing streak when they visit the Brisbane Broncos at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

Brisbane coach Michael Maguire will be looking for answers after yet another disappointing result from a team many expected to be contending for the premiership.

The Broncos let slip a seemingly comfortable 14-0 half-time lead to go down to the Rabbitohs, marking their second loss on the trot and fourth in five rounds.

All of those defeats came to fruition despite the Broncos being installed as the pre-game favourite. Does that mean it’s time to abandon ship for all Broncos believers? Or is this the week where they start to live up to the talent of their squad?

Meanwhile, the Dragons have lost three in a row, going down painfully by one point to the Warriors last week as they yet again failed to deliver in the big moments.

After returning from suspension via the Queensland Cup last week, Ezra Mam comes in for the Broncos, replacing the injured Ben Hunt. Toby Couchman is out for the Dragons, with Blake Lawrie joining the 17.

Let’s take a look at how both of these sides will line up on Sunday afternoon, as well as some betting tips for the H2H, first try scorer and over/under markets. This is our Broncos vs Dragons prediction.

 

Broncos vs Dragons Teams

 

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Selwyn Cobbo

2. Deine Mariner

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Patrick Carrigan

9. Billy Walters

10. Payne Haas

11. Xavier Willison

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

14. Cory Paix

15. Corey Jensen

16. Brendan Piakura

17. Fletcher Baker

 

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

1. Clint Gutherson

2. Tyrell Sloan

3. Moses Suli

4. Valentine Holmes

5. Corey Allan

6. Kyle Flanagan

7. Lyhkan King-Togia

8. Jack de Belin

9. Damien Cook

10. David Klemmer

11. Dylan Egan

12. Jaydn Su'A

13. Hamish Stewart

14. Jacob Liddle

15. Luciano Leilua

16. Loko Pasifiki Tonga

17. Blake Lawrie

Broncos vs Dragons Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

The Brisbane Broncos became the latest victims of this season’s unpredictability, going down to a struggling South Sydney side 22-14 on Friday night.

The Broncos week then went from bad to worse with news breaking that Ben Hunt will miss the next 4-6 weeks with injury meaning there is now a hole in Brisbane’s halves that needs filling.

All roads seem to lead to the return of Ezra Mam, who was left out last week, despite finally being available after a lengthy suspension.

We’re tipping Mam to be the man Michael Maguire calls on to stop the rot at Red Hill. Fill Hunt’s shoes and lead the Broncos to victory over the Dragons at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday.

Betting tip: Brisbane Broncos.

 

First Try Scorer Prediction

Who doesn’t love a fairytale? They’re so few and far between in professional sport these days, that when they do happen, they are truly a sight to behold.

Once one of the hottest prospects in the NRL, Ezra Mam has finally returned from his lengthy suspension and there would be nothing better than to see him cross for the opener here.

This prediction isn’t just the wishful thinking of a writer looking for a dream headline either, Ezra knows where the tryline is.

He scored last week in the QLD Cup and went on some truly barnstorming runs. With confidence from that performance and a point to prove, there’s no reason why he can’t go rushing over in double quick time here.

Betting tip: Ezra Mam.

 

Over/Under Prediction

With the addition of the ultra-attacking Ezra Mam and the fact that each of Brisbane's last six home matches against St. George Illawarra have gone over the total match points line, we’ll be taking the overs in this market.

Betting tip: Over total match points.

Broncos vs Dragons Match Details

 

Date: Sunday, May 16, 2025.

Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST.

Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane.