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Brisbane Broncos vs The Dolphins Prediction – Round 4 2026

26/03/2026|SB Staff|NRL Expert Predictions & Tips

The Brisbane Broncos will host the Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium on Friday night, with local bragging rights on the line.

Brisbane returns home after a hard-fought 18-14 comeback over the Storm at AAMI Park, marking both the club’s opening win of the season and first win in Melbourne since 2016.

The Dolphins arrive at Suncorp Stadium brimming with confidence following a 38-10 demolition of the Sharks in Sydney and will be positive their attacking capability can test the home side.

The Broncos will be looking to build on the defensive resilience shown in Melbourne as they aim to gain early-season momentum.

Adam Reynolds returns at halfback for Brisbane while Payne Haas is unavailable due to a shoulder injury. Tom Flegler returns from a rib injury for the Dolphins and Francis Molo is available to play following his suspension.

The Broncos won both meetings last year and hold a 5-1 record over the Dolphins. Can they continue that strong form here? Let’s find out!

For the latest news, odds and analysis ahead of the latest instalment of the Battle of Brisbane, check out our Broncos vs Dolphins tips and predictions below.

 

Broncos vs Dolphins Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

The Battle of Brisbane returns to Suncorp Stadium, and this rivalry is growing into one of the most anticipated fixtures on the NRL calendar.

Both sides enter Round 4 with confidence are securing crucial first wins of the season; the Broncos outlasted Melbourne in a Grand Final rematch, while the Dolphins clinically dispatched the Sharks.

Despite the victory, the Broncos weren’t entirely convincing against Melbourne, who probably played their worst half of football this season.

The biggest talking point at Red Hill remains the availability of skipper Adam Reynolds, who has been battling rib cartilage damage.

Some pundits have sparked a debate by suggesting Brisbane actually look more fluid without their ageing captain. However, it's highly unlikely Madge would drop him for form given his importance to the Broncos premiership defence.

There are storylines and fascinating duels across the park; new recruit Grant Anderson matching up against the man he replaced, former Bronco Selwyn Cobbo, while the electric Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow goes head-to-head with Reece Walsh in a battle of the game’s elite fullbacks.

Expect Kotoni Staggs to be absolutely fired up as the Broncos look to assert their dominance in the River City. We’re tipping the Broncos' big-game experience to see them through in a shootout.

Betting tip: Brisbane Broncos.

 

First Try Scorer Prediction

Hammer time anyone? How can we not? Dolphins’ fullback Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has scored at least one try in each of the Dolphins' last five matches.

At the moment it seems to be a case of ‘when’, not ‘if’, the Hammer will get on the scoreboard. So, for those looking for a ‘when” why not first?  

Betting tip: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow.

 

Over/Under Prediction

Seven of the Dolphins' last eight matches at Suncorp Stadium have gone over the total match points line.

Betting tip: Over (51.5) total match points.

 

Line Prediction

Brisbane has failed to cover the line in seven of its last eight Friday home matches.

Betting tip: Dolphins (+3.5) line.

 

Broncos vs Dolphins Anytime Try Scorer Betting Tips

 

Herbie Farnworth

Herbie Farnworth has scored a try in seven of his last eight away appearances.

 

Reece Walsh

Reece Walsh has scored at least one try in each of Brisbane's last four matches against opponents from Queensland.

 

Jake Averillo

Jake Averillo has scored at least one try in each of the Dolphins' last four matches.

 

Kotoni Staggs

Kotoni Staggs has scored at least one try in five of Brisbane's last six matches as a favourite.

 

Jamayne Isaako

Jamayne Isaako has scored a try in three of the Dolphins' last four matches.

 

Broncos vs Dolphins Teams

 

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Deine Mariner

5. Grant Anderson

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds (c)

8. Corey Jensen

9. Cory Paix

10. Xavier Willison

11. Brendan Piakura

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

14. Ben Hunt

15. Ben Talty

16. Aublix Tawha

17. Gehamat Shibasaki

18. Jaiyden Hunt

 

The Dolphins Team List

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Jake Averillo

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Selwyn Cobbo

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa (c)

8. Tom Gilbert (c)

9. Max Plath

10. Felise Kaufusi

11. Connelly Lemuelu

12. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

13. Morgan Knowles

14. Brad Schneider

15. Tom Flegler

16. Oryn Keeley

17. Ray Stone

18. Trai Fuller

 

Broncos vs Dolphins Match Details

 

Date: Friday, March 27, 2026.

Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT.

Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. 

Betting Suspended

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