Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction and Betting Odds

Known as the ‘Red River Rivalry’, the Oklahoma Sooners take on the Texas Longhorns – the 122th edition of this tinderbox clash.

Played at the Cotton Bowl in Texas, the neutral-site clash is split evenly down the 50-yard line, meaning half will be full of Texas fans (burnt orange) and half Oklahoma (crimson).

This game will kick off at 05:30 AEST on Sunday, October 11. But which side will end up with bragging rights?

Quick Picks

Our pick: Texas to win

Value bet: Oklahoma in the handicap

Long shot: Texas by 14+ Pts market

Betting Preview

This year’s edition is arguably even bigger, as Texas are ranked number 1 in the college football rankings, having gone 4-0 in their first four games. Oklahoma are unranked, having gone 2-2 this season.

Quarterback Arch Manning is one of the reasons why Texas are ranked top of the tree. He has thrown for 862 yards and seven touchdowns this season, but he does need to clean up his game if the Longhorns are to be more efficient with their offence.

Ryan Wingo has been Manning's favourite target downfield, leading the team with 239 receiving yards on 19 receptions. He does only have two touchdowns.

Defensively, EDGE rusher Colin Simmons has been the dominant force, recording 7.5 sacks, while linebacker Rasheem Biles has 29 total tackles.

For Oklahoma, a lot will rest on their quarterback, John Mateer. He has 883 passing yards and eight touchdowns, but his success relies heavily on limiting turnovers against a predatory Texas defence.

Wide receiver Isaiah Sategna III is their main offensive threat. He leads the team with 267 receiving yards and possesses the elite speed necessary to turn short completions into major chunk plays.

David Stone will need to be at his best and constantly pressure Manning, forcing him into rushed throws that could lead to interceptions.

Betting Markets to Watch

Texas are big favourites to win – and they’ve got history on their side. They are 65-51-5 in all-time meetings. Additionally, they are the top ranked team.

Value may be in the ‘Texas by 1-13 Pts’ market, as Oklahoma has an elite defence. By extension, the Oklahoma handicap has value as it is plausible that they can keep the game to within just one touchdown.

Arch Manning Under 221.5 passing yards has value. He has been held under 201 passing yards in each of his last three starts.

Against a fierce Oklahoma pass rush, look for Texas to keep the ball on the ground. Texas has leaned into a run-heavy, defensive identity in recent games.

Value can also be worth considering in the ‘Under 14.5’ market for ‘Oklahoma Total Points’. Texas has held Oklahoma touchdown-less in their last two meetings, limiting them purely to field goals.

Oklahoma's offense under John Mateer has found it tough against elite defensive fronts. With Simmons on the other side, the Sooners could find it incredibly difficult to cross into the end zone, particularly multiple times.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Oklahoma vs Texas betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our top prediction is for the Longhorns to be likely winners.

Long shot value is in the Texas by 14+ Pts market, as Oklahoma can keep things tight.