The Spurs hold a 3-2 lead heading into the game, with both teams having held the league before being pegged back at least once.

Game 6 will be played in Minnesota and will take place on Saturday, May 16 (11:30 AEST).

Quick Picks

• Our pick: Timberwolves to win
• Value bet: Timberwolves in the 1st Half Winner market
• Long shot: Rudy Gobert To Record 12+ Rebounds

Betting Preview

As noted, the Western Conference semi-finals between these two NBA sides has been back-and-forth, with no team able to build the margin needed to give them the advantage. When one team wins, the other pulls back.

As we approach Game 6, it's beneficial to see how the previous five games have ended, as this may identify potential trends:

• Game 1: Timberwolves won 104-102 in San Antonio
• Game 2: Spurs won 133-95 in San Antonio
• Game 3: Spurs won 115-108 in Minnesota
• Game 4: Timberwolves won 114-109 in Minnesota
• Game 5: Spurs won 126-97 in San Antonio

In this series, it doesn't even appear as though the home team has the advantage, as both have managed to secure vital wins as visitors.

Both have also managed to win when at home, leaving this one truly 50-50.

Betting Markets to Watch

It's interesting what the market is predicting. The Spurs have been given short odds as favourites to win on the moneyline.

However, given what we've seen happen throughout the series, we think there's value in the Timberwolves to force this into a Game 7.

Indeed, the Timberwolves have won eight of their last nine home games against the Spurs, suggesting the value is worth exploring here.

If you're not convinced of their chances of winning, the handicap market may offer better value.

The line has been set at 5.5 points; the Timberwolves have covered the line in eight of their last nine NBA playoff home games.

Alternative value for the team could also be found in the 'Minnesota Timberwolves - 1st Half Winner' market.

The Spurs have lost the first half in seven of their last eight playoff games as road favourites.

Furthermore, eight of the Spurs' last nine Western Conference Semifinal games as favourites have gone over the total points line, suggesting potential value in the points total market.

The line has been set at 218.5 points, and has been over in the last four games in this series.

Our Prediction

Check the latest NBA Timberwolves vs Spurs betting odds at Sportsbet.

The Timberwolves offer value to win this game, and given their strong recent H2H record at home, we think this is the likely outcome.

Our long shot is in the 'Rudy Gobert To Record 12+ Rebounds' market. He has recorded 12+ rebounds in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against Western Conference opponents.