Rockets vs Warriors Prediction and Betting Odds

The Warriors' eight-game streak meets a Rockets side that's 5-1 at home.

Golden State hasn't lost since its third game of the season, and the latest of eight straight wins was a 138-87 demolition of New Orleans in which Stephen Curry needed just over 20 minutes to score 25.

Houston is the kind of opponent that ends streaks, though, because the Rockets have won five of six at Toyota Center and their last three meetings with the Warriors were all settled by four points or fewer.

Before we get to our full preview, here are the key details:

• Competition: NBA Regular Season
• Venue: Toyota Center, Houston
• Date: Thursday, 12 November 2026
• Start Time: 1:30pm AEDT

The Warriors Streak Meets Houston's Home Form

The Warriors started 0-3 and haven't looked back, and Curry has been the engine, scoring 41 in an overtime win over Orlando to break LeBron James' record for 40-point games after turning 35.

Yaxel Lendeborg added 23 that night, but six of the eight wins in the run came at Chase Center, and Golden State is only 2-2 on the road.

Houston is 8-3 and bounced back from defeats to Minnesota and Phoenix with a 110-100 win over Denver. Kevin Durant had 23 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists that night, and Alperen Sengun was just as close to a triple-double with 20, 11, and eight.

The recent head to head is as tight as it gets. The Rockets won 104-100 in November 2025, the Warriors won 115-113 in March, and Houston edged the last one 117-116 in April.

Houston and Golden State Are Both Short Up Front

Both sides are short in the frontcourt. Houston is missing Clint Capela (ankle) and Steven Adams (calf), with Oscar Tshiebwe questionable through illness, which puts even more of the load on Sengun.

Golden State is without Kristaps Porzingis, who has stepped away from basketball to deal with an undisclosed health issue, plus Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, and Gary Payton II.

Will Richard is out with a torn ligament in his left thumb and is undergoing surgery, and Brandon Williams is questionable with a hamstring issue, so the Warriors' rotation is thinner than the streak suggests.

Rockets vs Warriors Betting Markets

The head to head is where most punters will start, and it comes down to whether you trust the streak or the venue. Given how close the last three meetings were, the line looks just as relevant, since none of those games was decided by more than four points.

Totals are interesting because the styles clash. Golden State is averaging 120.4 points a game, while Houston is giving up just 106.4, and that gap is what the total will be built around.

Player props start with Curry, who is averaging more than 30 points a game, but Sengun and Durant both flirted with triple-doubles against Denver, so their rebounds and assists lines are worth a look with Houston's other bigs sidelined.

The Rockets vs Warriors odds will show how much respect the market gives that eight-game run once the final injury reports are in.

Rockets vs Warriors Prediction: Our Pick

We're taking the Rockets to win at home. They're 5-1 at Toyota Center and holding opponents to 106.4 points a game, while the Warriors' streak has been built mostly in San Francisco, with their two road losses coming against the Lakers and the Suns.

Houston also won two of the last three meetings, and Durant and Sengun are both in form after their near triple-doubles against a good Denver side. 

Porzingis and Butler haven't played all season, so the Warriors have built this run with a small rotation that has few ways to match the Rockets inside.

The risk is obvious. Curry has scored at least 25 in each of his last two games, and if he gets hot from deep, the Rockets' defence can only do so much.

Our pick: Rockets to win

The rest of this week's games are covered in our NBA tips and predictions.