Next to Jump

Six Nations: Wales vs France Betting Tips & Predictions

13/02/2026|SB Staff|Misc Tips & Predictions
<p>The last time these two teams met, France blitzed past the Welsh with an emphatic 43-0 victory. A total of seven tries were scored in that rout, with four being scored in the first half.</p> <p>They're in contrasting form already in this year's Six Nations, with the hosts having suffered defeat in their opener while the French secured an opening win.</p> <p>Read on for our Wales vs France betting predictions…</p> <h2>Quick Picks</h2> <p><strong>Our pick: </strong>France to win</p> <p><strong>Value bet:</strong> Louis Bielle-Biarrey scoring 2+ tries in this game</p> <p><strong>Long shot: </strong>France will score most of their tries in the first half</p> <h2>Betting Preview</h2> <p>Wales haven't enjoyed Six Nations rugby in recent years. Last year's competition was one to forget, as they scored just 10 tries across their five matches without winning one.</p> <p>Things didn't look as though they had improved last weekend, when they were beaten 48-7 by England. They failed to score a try in that game.</p> <p>France won the Six Nations last year by one bonus point, and began their title defence with a solid 36-14 victory over Ireland. Louis Bielle-Biarrey scored two tries in that game as he aims to be the leading try-scorer once again after achieving eight last year.</p> <p>Now, looking ahead to this meeting, things don't read well for Wales. The last six matches between these two nations in the Six Nations have all ended in favour of France. Results have included:</p> <ul> <li>Jan 2025: France 43-0 Wales</li> <li>Mar 2024: Wales 24-45 France</li> <li>Mar 2023: France 41-28</li> <li>Mar 2022: Wales 9-13 France</li> <li>Mar 2021: France 32-30 Wales</li> <li>Feb 2020: Wales 23-27 France</li> </ul> <h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2> <p>The Line market offers greater value than the moneyline, with the number set at -30.5 points for France. This suggests France is expected to dominate the game, but we think this might be too high.</p> <p>In the last six meetings, this line has been covered only once, in the most recent contest. While Wales are rebuilding and don't have the same depth or quality as France or what they once had, we think they should cover the +30.5 line.</p> <p>We think that there will be value in Louis Bielle-Biarrey scoring 2+ tries in this game. He scored two first-half tries in the last meeting between these two sides. He had two against Ireland, with one in either half.</p> <h2>Our Prediction</h2> <p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/the-six-nations/wales-v-france-10135604">Wales vs France betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p> <p>Our prediction is that France are likely to win this match and by a big margin. We don't think it'll be by more than 30 points as the handicap line suggests, but we think it's likely to be in the 20+ region.</p> <p>As a long shot, we think that France will score most of their tries in the first half, having had three against Ireland last weekend and four in the first 40 minutes against Wales in the previous encounter.</p> <p>If you're looking to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/the-six-nations">bet on the Six Nations</a>, this fixture offers plenty of angles to consider beyond the simple head-to-head result.</p> <p>For those new to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/international-matches">rugby union international betting</a>, matches like this showcase how recent form and historical trends can inform your approach.</p> <h2>Keep Reading</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-rugby-championship">Your complete guide to betting on international rugby</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/european-champions-cup">Who's in the hunt to be crowned kings of Europe?</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/">Explore all the latest sports betting markets</a></li> </ul>

Relevant Articles

How to Bet on the Six Nations

Everything Australian punters need to know about rugby's biggest Northern Hemisphere tournament, from match betting to Grand Slam outrights.

Six Nations Triple Crown Explained

The oldest bragging rights in northern hemisphere rugby, exclusive to the Home Nations since 1883.

Six Nations: France vs Ireland Prediction and Betting Tips

France will be looking to replicate their 2024 Six Nations performance against Ireland, having beaten them 42-27 in Ireland.
1
JOINOnly takes3 minutes
2
DEPOSITIt's safe andsecure
3
BETGreat oddsand specials
Must be
BetStop - the National Self-Exclusion Register™ is a free service provided by the Australian Government that allows people to self-exclude from all licensed Australian online and phone wagering providers in a single process. Registering is quick and easy and can be done at www.betstop.gov.au.
While you are registered, Australian licensed online and phone wagering providers must not open a wagering account for you, allow you to place bets, or send you marketing material.
Licensed and regulated by the Northern Territory Racing and Wagering Commission.
Copyright © Sportsbet Pty Ltd.