Scotland vs Australia Prediction and Betting Odds

Scotland will welcome Australia to Murrayfield after experiencing defeat to New Zealand last weekend.

The Wallabies, meanwhile, were beaten heavily by England.

Can Australia take victory in this clash on Monday, November 16, with kick-off at 02:10am AEDT?

Quick Picks

Our pick: Australia to win

Value bet: Australia handicap

Long shot: Australia to win by 8-14 points

Betting Preview

Scotland were outclassed by the Kiwis, as the All Blacks ran riot over the hosts, winning 43-21. That was all despite a historic first-half hat-trick of tries scored by Ewan Ashman.

Australia didn’t fare any better in their Round 4 encounter, as they were pretty easily dispatched by England 45-22. 

They conceded seven tries (as did Scotland), but managed to score three through Max Jorgensen, Filipo Daugunu, and Jeremy Williams. Still, let’s just say it wasn’t the best of performances from Les Kiss’s men.

The Scots find themselves with two wins and two losses, while the Wallabies have just one win from their first four games. That win came in Round three, when they dominated Italy.

The Wallabies’ most recent performance was packed with errors and just lacked bite on the field. It was the third game in a row in which they had conceded 40 points, having given up 38 against South Africa just prior to that run.

Isaac Henry also won’t be available after suffering a tour-ending injury against England.

Betting Markets to Watch

Scotland have been made early favourites to win in the moneyline, with the international rugby odds reflecting a moderate gap between the two nations. Despite Scotland’s loss to the All Blacks, the Wallabies’ troubles last weekend appear to be greater than the host nation's.

Scotland were competitive for the first half against New Zealand, trailing only 24-21 at the break before going scoreless in the second half. But Australia weren’t a million miles away from England at half-time (19-10).

So, the handicap offers intrigue, as the line has been set at a try (6.5). Based on what happened in their respective games last weekend, Australia appear to have value to cover.

If handicap and margin lines like these are worth exploring further, our guide to betting on the Rugby Championship breaks down how they work. They appear to have the ability to fight back in the latter parts of the game, while Scotland petered out after a strong first half.

This could be tight at a vocal Murrayfield, but ‘Australia to win by 1-7’ has value in the win margin market. Again, based on the factors above, a fast start by the hosts could potentially be hunted down by the Wallabies in the second half.

Our Prediction

Check the latest Scotland vs Australia betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think the most likely outcome is an Australian win.

We’re going for Australia to win by 8-14 points for our long shot. Kiss will want a huge response from his side, and for them to put in a much more solid performance.

Harry Wilson said as much. “We want a big response against Scotland, and we need to be more physical,” the Aussie captain said. “Three 20-plus losses on the trot is not good enough”.

If they manage periods of sustained pressure, rather than any attempt to dominate the whole match, Scotland could feel the heat if things aren’t going their way. Scotland had serious ball retention issues last week that could appear once again, leaving Australia a chance to capitalise.